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Monetary and Capital Market Exclusive, March 2004


 

Monetary and Capital Market in Iran

Iran Pioneers Oil Bourse

The quantity and type of commodities and products and the volume of transactions on the trading floor will be high.

Dr. Mohammad Javad Assemipur, Minister of Oil Advisor

Surviving in a modern world would need attention to future changes and challenges in addition to endeavoring to make up for past shortcomings and Iran, as a developing country, is no exception to this rule.

Global increase in demand for oil and its derivatives and the soaring share of member countries of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in meeting that demand has highlighted the role of reconstructing the energy sector in most countries enjoying energy, especially oil and gas resources, and has necessitated the replacement of the traditional system for trading oil and its derivatives with new systems.

Experiences in such countries as England and Singapore that carry out their dealings through special bourses indicate possibility of establishing an oil bourse in the Persian Gulf region where enormous dealings in oil are being carried out.

Iran has taken the first step for establishing an oil bourse in the country and the Middle East through studies on the possibility of opening a trading floor for oil, gas and petrochemicals. Dr. Ghanimifard, Director of the International Relations Department of the National Iranian Oil Company believes that launching the trading floor would be the first step of a long-term plan to determine the best price for oil products.

The emphasis put by the Third Plan Law on improving structure, transparency, competitiveness and providing grounds for participation of the private sector in oil products trading floor, especially the law that has obliged the government to establish bourses for various commodities is considered the main reason for opening such a trading floor, which can lead to reducing the risk of price fluctuations and increasing oil revenues.

Dr. Mohammad Javad Assemipour, who is responsible for designing, launching and establishing the oil, gas and petrochemical trading floor said that according to the current plans, the Oil Ministry would be only in charge of design, launch and establishment of the trading floor while it would be finally run as a nongovernmental organization (NGO) that is to encompass all activities related to hydrocarbon substances after becoming fully developed.

Since the first outcome of every bourse is transfer of money from depositors and investors to economic corporations and units or the government that face shortage of financial resources, capital and liquidity for their long-term finance projects, establishment of an oil bourse in addition to making serious changes in the structure of the oil industry and the process of selling oil and its products, would not only reduce the impact of fluctuating oil prices on the Iranian economy, but also lead to better allocation of resources, controlling money and liquidity and, finally curbing inflation through absorbing wandering capitals inside the country. Meanwhile, its performance can pave the way for inflow of foreign capital by attracting oil industry owners and capitalists.

Iran has taken the first step for establishing an oil bourse in the country and the Middle East through studies on the possibility of opening a trading floor for oil, gas and petrochemicals.

Experts believe that performance of an oil bourse in view of the geopolitical situation of Iran can end up in more consolidation of the oil market too and result in more security in oil supply and demand.

Assemipour says, “Establishment of a trading floor as a prelude to an oil bourse will increase security of oil dealings in the oil products market. At the same time, close relations between the bourse and international markets would bring more stability to dealings in such products.”

The establishment of a trading floor as a predecessor to the oil bourse could turn Iran into a pioneer in trading oil and related products in the Middle East and just in the same way that Bahrain is on the verge of becoming one of the biggest financial markets in the region and the United Arab Emirates is spearheading regional trade through its free zones, launching the course would turn Iran into a leading force in regional oil dealings.

Studies aimed at finding a location for the trading floor and selection of the contractor would be complete by the year-end. After sending the notice and details of preliminary measures of the project for more than 160 companies in the world, now correspondence with proposing companies has started to complete their proposals, so that, after receiving proposed prices approved by the Oil Ministry, negotiations with participants for determining the domain, details of work and price would get underway.

The winner of the project should provide needed guarantees for the efficiency of the designed system up to the end of the project and after inauguration. Meanwhile, since the project would be divided in several phases, studying various parts of the trading floor would be carried out in parallel and it would be implemented in the course of time. Therefore, it would start its activities with trading some special oil products in the short run and then would attend to other products.

Due to the nature of oil and its products, it is projected that the quantity and type of commodities and products and the volume of transactions at the trading floor would be high. Therefore, traders should be efficient and technical and financial capacities of agencies in the trading hall should be adequate.

The preliminary description of the trading floor comprises 18 paragraphs on the location of the trading floor, defining financial and legal structure of the bourse, conditions of the agencies, the method of establishing dealer companies, software system and structure of bourse communications, types of bourse contracts, specifications and conditions for delivering products after purchase and the quality of future transactions.

Observing international standards for commodity delivery goods, adapting communication systems of the dealings hall with that of the global bourses, regulating information and communications systems to establish relations and transactions with global markets and preventing losses incurred by domestic traders, designing system of regulations for handling economic cases by considering international pricing systems and providing related software and hardware as well as educational planning for the agencies are some points to be taken into consideration for the establishment of a trading floor for oil, gas and petrochemicals.

The trading floor would also need accounting, financial, legal and managerial structures as well as specific regulations for transactions, defining typical contracts for various products and designing a barter chamber as well as security system.

The activity of insurance companies, the method used for providing necessary guarantees in the market, methods used for delivering goods to purchasers as well as how to use e-commerce are the issues of importance for the establishment of the trading floor.

It seems that implementation of the swap plan for daily exchange of 120,000 barrels of oil from Caspian countries, which can be increased to 370,000 barrels, as well as the establishment of Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline and transfer of oil and gas from Caspian littoral states and Iraq to the Eastern Mediterranean region would provided good conditions for transacting oil products with those countries, which can add to prosperity of the trading floor for oil, gas and petrochemicals.

We must not forget that according to the current regulations at the oil market, only those parties that would gain the approval of board of directors of the National Iranian Oil Company will be able to be listed as purchasers of oil and its products. However, during preliminary studies on establishing a trading floor, the possibility of presence of various groups to forward purchase proposals on the said products would be studied.

Assemipour stated that the presence of various companies on the oil products trading floor would be optional and all companies active in the field of oil, gas and petrochemicals that have been approved for presence in the hall, could attend its dealings although performance of the country’s oil products market would provide necessary motivation for presence of such companies in the trading floor.

In fact, inauguration of an oil, gas and petrochemicals trading floor and eventual establishment of an oil bourse will do away with monopoly of special purchasers in the market and the Iranian investors would enter oil products trading market for the first time in the history of the Iranian oil industry.

At the same time, the fact that most Persian Gulf countries follow suit with controlling policies of OPEC, could be an inhibitory factor for determining the oil price as a price index in a bourse, which has so far precluded establishment of an oil bourse in the region, because imposing controlling policies would prevent oil price from being set in a free market based on supply and demand. Also, OPEC members emphasize on specific destinations for selling their oil and most of them do not sell their oil for free destinations while oil purchasers in a bourse must be capable of transferring oil to any destination that they deem expedient. All this limitations should be taken into consideration to make an oil, gas and petrochemicals trading floor more efficient.

Regional developments and the possibility of establishment of regional markets in the Persian Gulf has prompted some experts to opine that inauguration of an oil bourse in Iran would be a decisive factor for more coordination and cooperation in line with more controls over oil price. They assess an oil bourse as an inhibitory tool for preventing oil price fluctuations whose success would depend on regional pacts with new economic orientations and meeting the interests of member countries. However, we must not forget that investors’ enthusiasm about the bourse requires political stability in Iran to make it a good carrier for aggregation of domestic and foreign capitals.

Critics of an oil bourse, however, do not believe it to be capable of attracting foreign capital and opine that political developments and conditions in the region would prevent attraction of investments. They are of the opinion that investors’ enthusiasm about the bourse would depend on profitability and security in the region and suitable grounds for investment in the country would be only provided when Iran establishes relations with other countries on the basis of a logical political diplomacy in line with its national interests.

Assemipour believes that, “Studies for the establishment of an oil, gas and petrochemicals bourse, despite high costs of procuring installations as well as information and computer apparatus could pave the way for shaping primary plans for the establishment of other commodity bourses and eliminating probable shortcomings with the stock exchange.

He hoped that the Fourth Economic Development Plan would consider a specific article in the section on financial markets for the establishment of an oil bourse.

 

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