logo.gif (10233 bytes)
The Forum for Partners in Iran's Marketplace
PREVIOUS NEXT

Banking

cover14.jpg (12745 bytes)

HOME


CONTENTS


iicic-logo.jpg (1968 bytes)

ipf-logo.jpg (2124 bytes)

ipcc-logo.jpg (1927 bytes)

Everything Under Control
$1=Rls.7900

24.jpg (4367 bytes)

Dr. Mohsen Nourbakhsh, Governor of the Central Bank of Iran (CBI), was at the news highlight for a few weeks after the new minister of economic affairs and finance took office. As the word was spreading that the CBI chief was going to leave office together with a few managing directors of state-run banks in his camp, Dr. Nourbakhsh appeared in a news conference to reassure that he was not making any plans to leave.
He also talked about the CBI’s measure to issue bonds for decreasing liquidity and beating inflation. “One new tool in our financial policy is to direct unused capitals towards major development and infrastructure projects,” he said. Excerpts:

Future Plans, Current Commitments: A decision by the Iranian Government to have a stable foreign currency price system in place has already secured a Parliamentary approval and will have seen the US dollar hover around the 7900-rial level by March 2002.
To stabilize national economy, the government has committed itself to beating fluctuations in foreign currency price. This will help us have a clear-cut image about the status of both producers and consumers. A dollar slipping under the 7900 rials will render the government unable to stand on its own feet.
The Iranian government is bent to introduce a single-rate foreign currency price system. To that end, the Management and Planning Organization is drawing up a plan.

Iran’s Foreign Currency Savings Fund is to lend financial assistance to 177 projects worth $836 million.

Export, Import, Revenue, Debt and Investment Figures: Foreign currency prices on the black market registered a 4.1% increase in the 5 months to August 22, 2001. A joint supervision of supply and demand by the government and the Central Bank along with a single-rate system will beat price fluctuations.
Iran had $3.54 billion in income surplus in the 5 months to August 22, 2001. During the same period, exports earned Iran $11.019 billion in revenue. Oil and gas accounted for $9.144 billion of the total amount. The country is expected to earn $7.5 billion on the basis of TSE rate this year (ending March 21, 2002).
Our forecasts say that next year will not see a hike in prices of goods. Unlike what economic analysts believe, stable foreign currency rates will not push the commodity prices skywards because the government does not rely on the growth of the greenback rate in supplying and tagging goods.
Investment has registered a 370% growth this year. That is a satisfactory figure. The number of utilization licenses increased by 169.5% during the same period.
The wholesale index growth stood at 5.2% in the five months to August 22, 2001 as wholesale price hike lost momentum.
Production costs slipped in the same period while the growth in producer price index stood at 11.2%. The price index of exported goods grew by 7% which is below the inflation rate. This allowed Iranian exporters to remain competitive despite stability in hard currency prices on the international stage.
Liquidity growth was 9.7% in late August. Credits granted to non-governmental sectors were 9.8%. There was a 15.9% increase in the licenses issued for manufacturing units.
Iran’s non-oil exports have registered a 35.2% increase. Imports have followed suit going up by 29.5%. Iran’s foreign debts are now no more than $7.3 billion.
Years of drought have dealt Iran’s agriculture industry a blow forcing us to place wheat on top of the imports list. Imports of basic items have climbed by 11.4%. Imports of industrial equipment rose by 45.4% whereas the figure stood at 35.5% for chemicals and raw material.

Stock Market Takes a Beating: Recent international developments temporarily dampened trading on Tehran Stock Exchange but trade has now returned to normal. Stock returns stood at 47.8% in the 5-month period while cash returns of shares were no more than 13.4%. The growth of financial index stood at 54.5%.
The growth at the Sock Market can be identified as tangible and stock returns have now hit a satisfactory level. Buying shares, small investors signal readiness to contribute to the investment process. I don’t think we will face the same problems bourses recently suffered in other countries.

Stabilization Fund: Our Foreign Currency Savings Fund is to lend financial assistance to 177 projects worth $836 million. Agreements on some projects are already finalized. Letters of credit are being opened for some others. An investment-oriented policy will sustain this trend.

Back to top