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January 2003 / No. 21


Economy

Setting Economy on the Right Course

"Realization of a uniform exchange rate is the present policy followed by the government and a great deal of money has been spent to reach this goal."

Tahmaseb Mazaheri, Minister of Finance and Economic Affairs, has been speaking with representatives of the media for the past two months on economic reform. The following is an outline of his viewpoints:

Euro-based Bonds: Around $625 million of bonds have been sold to Europe at 8.25% interest rate and funds amounting to $2 million have also been collected. About $1.4 billion of the total 2 billion obtained has been invested in special projects.

WTO Membership: The government has decided to utilize special schemes in order to join the WTO. As soon as Iran’s membership within the WTO is confirmed, there will be a period of several years to discuss, work out, and coordinate the conditions for joining the organization. During the discussions efforts will be made to take advantage of joining the WTO and at the same time making use its benefits. There are so many benefits and much may be gained if the discussions taking place are exact and technical in nature. The discussions ahead of us will of course be tough. It took China about a decade to finalize its entry conditions. Iran will try not to lose its benefits and at the same time find its place in the all-important world market. Upon approval, a professional and expert team will be created to study and determine all aspects and dimensions of its membership. One of the barriers to our joining the WTO may be the disapproval of a number of WTO members on the basis of politics.

Privatization: According to the existing rules and regulations, the transfer of state companies to the private and cooperative sectors through negotiations is forbidden and all concessions must be done through the stock market or tenders. Despite the existence of awkward rules and regulations for privatization of companies, the trend has been positive in the current year. Articles 15, 16 and 19 of the third development plan have been the greatest hurdles to the privatization of state-owned companies. It is hoped that with the approval of the corrective measures by the Parliament, the grounds will be paved for swifter privatization.

Aggregated Tax Bill: Calculating the redundant duties, the present rate of taxes received from production will be a minimum of 6% and a maximum of 25%. With the approval of the aggregated tax bill all producers will pay only a 3% duty and multiple duties will be done away with. Efforts by some members of Parliament to cut the production tax by 1% will reduce state income drastically and is completely illogical. The emergence of the new taxation law has altered the method of authentication and evaluation of taxes and therefore the basis for the new tax assessment will be the amount of a company’s profits, its performance records, the loss and profit accounting reports and its balance sheet prepared by certified accounting institutes.

Exchange Rates: It is hoped that there will not be extreme fluctuations in the rate of exchange in the future and that it will stay at an acceptable level. Any rate announced by the government will prevent the single currency rate from establishing itself. If any authority announces a new rate, the market will immediately establish another and this will automatically lead to the emergence of the multiple rates system.

Activities of the Ministry: A new plan is under way to correct the banking interest rate structure as another attempt by the ministry to support investment within the country. The interest rates on the bank systems legal deposits held at the Central Bank of Iran have been reduced from 23% to 16% in the current year. This has been a very useful move to free bank resources and provide better long-term facilities to the manufacturing sector. All banks are now obliged to present their freed resources in the form of long-term facilities to their clients as prescribed by the regulations of this plan.

Foreign Exchange Rate and the 2003 Budget Bill: The realization of a uniform exchange rate is the present policy followed by the government and a great deal of money has been spent to reach this goal. Part of the current year’s inflation rate was the direct influence of the attempt to create a uniform exchange rate and the government intends to follow the policy in the foreseeable future. Borrowing from foreign banks is in fact a kind of financing but it is at the same time considered to be conducive of budget deficit. This well-intended deficit has been accepted by the government to secure the huge finances needed for half finished construction projects within the country. It is suggested that the present trend should be continued in the next fiscal year. The rate of exchange will be adjusted on the basis of supply and demand and it is hoped that the balance of supply to demand will create relative stability in the country and the rate of exchange will reach a comparatively stable level in the next period.

The Role of Insurance in Iran's    Economy: The main aim of privatization is for insurance companies to become more active and perform better through private management. The first step in attracting the prospective insurer is to make them trust the companies involved. The insurance company's balance sheets must be published in the print media after approval and finalization so that the public can come to know about their operations. Insurance companies must undertake the practice of presenting a true and exact image of themselves. Protection and support of investors with the goal of investment growth within the country is one of the duties of insurance companies. Insurance in Iran will not have a serious and valuable effect on the growth of investment for as long as it is under government – that means state companies should not feel so secure as not to insure themselves. When privatization arguments are put forward, the first worry of any investor are the probable risks involved.

The way to reduce the tension felt by investors is to design and offer various forms of insurance coverage and proposals. Part of the investment risks are the result of the decisions and behavior of the government – but of course the government is at present attempting to alter its behavior in such a way as to attract the trust of investors, by reducing political risk to a minimum and allowing patrons to forecast the state’s behavior.

Commercial and production risks together form another factor which causes investors to keep their distance. However, if logical and suitable behavior is seen, investors would be prepared to accept risks, and insurance companies therefore must formulate technical approaches to cover investment risks.

It is imperative for Iran’s Central Insurance Organization (CIO) to supervise insurance companies which have entered the private sector. For privatization to be realized and unnecessary incidents avoided, supervision by the CIO must become more concentrated and insurance companies have to make certain that they are following the correct procedure.

If insurance privatization takes place in the absence of compliance with the CIO's regulations and technical supervision, there will be negative consequences following it – and the only way to prevent this problem is thorough up-to-date, practical supervision by the CIO.

In addition to moving towards privatization, insurance officials in Iran must support this move by taking steps to create insurance cover for state plans and therefore open the way for development in various sectors of the country's economy.

The privatization trend of state-owned insurance companies possesses clarity and is moving along swiftly.  It is the intention of the state to hand over structural activities and economic supervision to the private sector in order to pave the grounds for economic development and economic reforms.

The provision of risk coverage for investors will help economic growth in Iran and the insurance industry can help the country in this regard by expanding its activities.

 

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