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March 2003 /
No. 22 |
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Cover Story:
Urbanization in the Third Millennium |
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Iran's Electronic Society |
With e-societies springing up all over
the world, it is time that Iran turns its attention to the obstacles, benefits
and suggestions it faces for creating such a society. With the implementation
of the plan to establish Iran’s first e-society already underway we examined
the emergence of e-societies and Iran’s position on the brink of an
information reform.
Information Technology (IT) is no longer
a single science that is studied in the dims of an industrial research center
by the odd computer nerd tapping away at a keyboard. It has now boldly entered
into all fields of politics, culture, economics and society as a whole. It is
no longer confined to the realm of industry and its dynamic momentum has
profoundly affected the human way of life at the outset of the third
millennium. Nowadays we are constantly bombarded with information through
networks, the World Wide Web, compact discs, DVDs, mobiles, handheld PCs,
optical wires, etc, etc, etc. In short, we have access to more information,
more often and much quicker through digital means.
What is more is that these speeds are
only going up, with the power of the computer chip doubling every 18 months
since 1965, a trend that is forecasted to continue for as long as 2050. All
this leads to a change in the consumer culture and the emergence of
e-commerce, e-banking, virtual education, paperless societies, digital
universities and countless other institutes that are now conducting their
affairs through the internet alone.
Many countries are willingly exposing
themselves to this electronic tide, hoping it will devour them. Malaysia for
example, a third-world Muslim Asian country, will be implementing a paperless
education system in 2003, where all the books and notebooks will be replaced
by computers and networks. Even conservative countries that have been
reluctant to allow trade, investment and economic ventures have reached the
conclusion that utilizing IT will be to their benefit. What all this amounts
to is the sudden emergence of electronic giants and e-governments that we are
witnessing today.
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" Iran now
has a comprehensive IT plan which addresses its policies, resources,
responsibilities, plans and challenges." |
When you see Kofi Annan, Secretary
General of the United Nations, a predominantly political international body,
personally attend IT seminars, congresses and conferences you realize that IT
is truly a global issue (as if there was a doubt). The minds of the world’s
leaders have met and they have all reached the belief that this phenomenon
serves to bestow upon humanity a better tomorrow. This unanimous decision also
alludes to a new round of competition in the international arena. These new
rivalries will no longer take a military, political, or even economic form;
rather they will be embodied in IT and Information Communication Technology
(ICT). He who wields the most IT and ICT is the most powerful. Since the end
of World War II and the 1950s science, technology and minds have become the
most strategic resources of any country. What we see today as Europe
(especially France, Germany, England and Italy) and America is the
construction of elite groups during the decades following WWII. Since the
educated and elite have been running countries the world has seen fewer wars,
and has witnessed the end of the Cold War and its subsequent disarmament and
the IT boom of the 1990s. The world is still in hot pursuit of these
developments.
How hot is this pursuit you ask? Just
consider the growth of the internet from 1997 to 2002. In 1997 only 82 million
people were connected to the web. Come 1998 and that figure has risen to 111
million, 1999 – 141 million, at the turn of the millennium 177 million were
connected, by 2001 231 million were connected and at the end of 2002 the World
Wide Web had a whooping 316 million users worldwide. Another statistic worth
mentioning is the relationship between IT investment and gross domestic
production (GDP). Whenever investments take place in the IT sector the GDP
experiences a disproportionate boost of 70% more than the invested amount. IT
is also a great job-creator. It not only creates jobs quickly, but also
creates them in great numbers.
These statistics have contributed to the
push seen in the last two decades for the establishing of development centers
in countries like France and China in order to attract IT elites. This has led
to the brain drain experience in the 1990s which has dealt a severe blow to
the elite-owning countries –and was continuously exacerbated until 2000. These
development centers would attract bright minds with a knowledge that was about
to bud as a technique, which would be immediately applied to industry,
economy, culture or where ever it could be applied. Suddenly these people were
worth millions of dollars for the countries they immigrated to. For example
Canada had 400,000 elites in 2001 which were worth $400 billion –a handsome
figure indeed. These development centers were set up in China, France, England
and Japan by companies that employed the immigrants in their IT departments.
Today China has some 105 development centers while Iran has only one.
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" Investment
in IT increases a country’s per capita income and GDP, creates new job
opportunities and gathers elites that are a country’s most valuable
asset." |
So investment in IT increases a
country’s per capita income and GDP, creates new job opportunities and gathers
elites that are a country’s most valuable asset. The strategic policy the
world pursues today is to expand and upgrade its human resources, which is
possible mainly through IT and ICT. In America for example, since the 1980s
and 90s these IT-centered upgrades have been implemented in their macro
–rather than micro– policies. The official line was that if any development is
to occur in the U.S. it is only possible through IT. Previously IT development
was considered an advancement in electronics and industry, but today its
stretches through all sectors to an extent that in the 1990s America claims
that IT constitutes part of its national security considerations. This
indicates the value powerful countries attach to this phenomenon.
But to cite an example from the
developing countries we can turn to Malaysia, who has centered its national
socioeconomic policy on IT since 1995. This indicates the progress they have
made in educating their population and in norm and culture creating.
Activities in Iran, in contrast, have all been periodical and case specific.
There has been no comprehensive national plan rather it has been a single
company, a newspaper, an executive body or a university. Different organs have
taken their own decisions and have often moved parallel with each other, both
doing the same work and ending up in the same place (rather than their efforts
having a cumulative effect).
In 1995 Iran should have educated 3% of
its society, 5% of its companies, 10% of its government bodies and
universities to use IT. But what really happened was a university professor
educated abroad or an enthusiastic graduate or a leading merchant or
businessman who has seen the system at work elsewhere would start applying IT
because of his\her personal experience. This in turn led to the emergence of a
few digital companies and the offering of computer courses and gradually the
utilization of the internet. All of this was happening without a national
plan, but the need for one was being increasingly felt –not on a national
level but on a personal, professional and economic level. This led to the
codification of a process that consisted of three levels: populace education,
foundation creation and application.
After WWII when Europe created its
development centers, these centers were made up of three groups: elites,
policymakers and executives. The elites would say what knowledge, ideas and
strategies they had; the policymakers would lay out these statements in the
form of policy and plans while the executives would publicize and implement
them. In effect this educated the populace. However, foundation creation was
more than just setting up networks and facilities and included the enactment
of rules and regulations, laws and legislation. While the populace is being
educated new laws must be enacted to implement the education. At the
application level ideal companies and communities are identified as well as
allowing for such things as borderless networks, virtual medical treatment,
multi-purpose identity cards and paperless schools. When this three level
process is successfully applied an electronic society will emerge. In such a
society everything you use in your day to day life will have an electronic
feature: e-banks, e-mail, e-commerce, e-libraries, etc.
All this amounts to an opportunity for
countries like Iran, but also a threat. The threat is that if we do not
embrace an e-society our elites will go elsewhere and we will continue to
experience the current crippling brain drain.
Nowadays any Iranian graduating with a
degree in electricity, electronics or computers will be immediately employed
and there will still be a 25% shortage of workers. This shortage is further
exacerbated by the foreign electronic market that attracts Iranian workers
abroad. This is still happening despite the fact that Iran has started to
implement the "three level process" through the Ministry of Post, Telegraph
and Telephone. Iran now has a comprehensive IT plan which addresses its
policies, resources, responsibilities, plans and challenges. Obviously some of
these policies and plans need to be enacted and embodied in legislation, and
this is where Parliament comes into it. The government in its 2002-2003 budget
allocated a considerable amount for the creation of internet networks in Iran
and did the same in its 2003-2004 budget with a higher figure. It is now
mandatory for universities, scientific and cultural centers to be connected to
the internet. This means that the required education, facilitation and
financing will also be met by the government.
The government will soon be having a few
bills for IT purposes before parliament. Parliament has established committees
and specialized commissions to address these very concerns and the Management
and Planning Organization has been in contact with the Ministry of Science to
develop jobs consistent with new technologies. There is also a fund allocated
for the establishing of European-style development centers which, as mentioned
before, will create jobs, attract elites and bring new IT. At the moment the
market desperately needs an IT trained workforce and no matter how many apply,
there will still be more positions to be filled.
However the fact that some complications
exist should not be overlooked. Some of our officials and cultural
personalities have some resistance towards the internet and any sort of
computer technology. There has been similar traditional resistance to
amplifiers, radios, televisions, videos, satellites and computers. Rather then
viewing these things as tools and devices that can serve to benefit culture,
religion and politics, they think these things undermine and destroy religion.
However, after a while the very people who forbade these devices realize their
usefulness and permit their usage and even utilize it themselves. The removal
of these silly restrictions will serve to attract foreign investment while
preserving domestic cultures. IT allows us to import foreign technologies
while maintaining our domestic culture. However, to achieve such a task we
require a joint national resolve and our young and educated elites surely are
capable of shouldering this burden. |
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CURRENT ISSUE |
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March 2003 / No. 22 |
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