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January
2004 / No. 27 |
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Industry |
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Jahangiri’s General Overview |
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Jahangiri opined that the important issue in future
policies was taking advantage of advanced industries and cutting-edge
technology. |
Due to the presence of the Minister of
Industries and Mines, the fourth conference of industries and mines research
and development centers was fruitful for reporters who had come to grill
Esshaq Jahangiri in such a way that it might not have been so for the
participants of the R&D conference.
Jahangiri, who had just came back from a
trip to Austria—to take part in a meeting of the United Nations Industrial
Development Organization (UNIDO)—said, "Competitiveness, constructive
interaction with the world and expanding the country’s economy to create a
competitive industry should be considered as characteristics of the domestic
industrial sector. For this reason, improving prices, quality and technology
of produced products would require serious movements. During the past 20
years, the country’s total non-oil exports have increased from $600 million to
$6 billion. Although the growth period has been long, the figure is desirable.
Share of industrial exports also is favorable and related figure is currently
15%."
"Countries that started their
privatization drive simultaneous with us have attained a figure of about 70-90
percent for share of non-oil exports, while we are far from such a figure. Of
course, the Fourth Economic Development Plan has paid special attention to
developing non-oil exports as the main policy of the government and we expect
non-oil exports to reach $15 billion by the end of the Fourth Economic
Development Plan, $12 billion of which would pertain to industrial exports. If
we manage to increase non-oil exports to $4 billion during the current Iranian
calendar year (started March 21, 2003), realization of the $12-billion figure
(by the end of the Fourth Plan) would be a great achievement. Of course, 65-70
percent of the country’s industrial exports would be dependent on raw
materials without processing," he added.
The minister noted that based on the
classification made by the industrial development strategy, in the sector of
medium industries with medium technology, 29-30 percent of the country’s
industrial exports were to be allocated to this issue, of which about 1% would
be allocated to advanced industries while the global trend for advanced
industries is on the opposite of our country and supply of such products to
the global markets was rapidly increasing.
It is a Difficult Job:
Economic growth is another matter
referred to by the Minister of Industries and Mines. Although he could not
hide his concern about non-realization of the projected growth for the
industrial sector, the minister said, "An 8% economic growth has been targeted
for a 20-year period, but it should be reassessed because there is no
precedence in the world of such an economic growth in a similar period of time
and even if it happened, the number of such countries would not exceed the
figures of a hand."
"It is a difficult job. For an economy
whose annual growth has been 2-3 percent during the past 20 years, achieving
an 8% growth figure should be accompanied with annual amassment," he noted.
The minister proposed two methods for
the realization of the growth figure.
"The first method is creating new
capital like developing factories, while the second one is increasing
productivity of production factors by taking advantage of physical and human
resources. We are facing shortage of resources with regard to capital
amassment. Clear policies for empowering the private sector should be the
focus of government’s attention. The private sector, on the other hand, must
provide grounds for empowerment, so that, it could put potentials into action.
On the other hand, we would need considerable foreign investment to realize
the growth figure. If the industrial sector intended to achieve this growth,
those conditions should be provided. Another important sphere that should
change is productivity of the production sector. During the past 30 years,
based on figures released by the Central Bank of Iran as well as the
Management and Planning Organization, share of production factors in economic
growth has not been positive and it has been even negative in some instances,"
he said.
Jahangiri proposed two important
scenarios for increasing productivity of production sector. He said, "Advanced
countries believe that up to 50% of the economic growth could be attributed to
production factors. The figure has even reached 30% in East Asian countries.
We must certainly project a new mechanism and make it part of our economic
system. For this reason, an increase in revenues would not be sustainable
without a corresponding growth in productivity factors and the industrial
units must pay attention to this point."
Carelessness Leads to Crisis:
The minister explained the two
scenarios as such: "Productivity of manpower and productivity of capital
should be paid attention to. The situation of capital productivity is more
pitiful than productivity of manpower, which also is a component of total
productivity. The private sector must know how productivity of capital is
created. Improvement of productivity of production factors, is undoubtedly a
result of training, improved technology, as well as reviewing internal
structure of a corporation. Research is a determinant for this kind of
productivity. Research and development units must try to play their rightful
role in the future development of the country’s economy by contributing to
increase in the industrial exports and production productivity."
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Competitiveness, constructive interaction with the
world and expanding the country’s economy to create a competitive
industry should be considered as a characteristic of the domestic
industrial sector |
The minister referred to the declining
trend of the industrial indexes and said, "We have reminded rapid decrease of
the industrial indexes in the industrial development strategy. If this trend
continued, we would be facing crisis soon. For this reason, improving
production lines, streamlining the production process, reducing wastes,
consumption of raw materials, reduction of energy, uplifting quality of
produced goods, manufacturing products to satisfy customers’ tastes and
introducing competitive prices are other factors that would expand domestic
and foreign markets of our goods. We have proposed that research and education
should take place in the above fields." Referring to close relation between
university and industry, the minister added that the issue had been on his
mind for a long time.
He said, "Industrial corporations need
serious reforms. Many of our industrial corporations have not yet come to the
conclusion that establishing research and development centers is a necessity.
University, industry and a center that could link them is a main challenge for
the ministry now. Research and development centers can work as think tanks for
corporations and increase their productivity. We have taken good steps in this
regard. At present, we have issued permits for 1,000 research centers and
there are 60,000 corporations in the industrial and mines sector, but the
figure is still low. If we encouraged these centers or, at least, spent 2% of
export profits on research and development, we would rapidly progress."
"Although research and development
centers are foci of guidance, a corporation which is faced with myriads of
exogenous problems cannot be expected to move ahead. For this reason,
selection of directors, taking advantage of specialized manpower, as well as
attention to research and development has been stressed by the country’s
industrial development strategy. Such issues are connected to consumer
industries, long-lasting and short-lived industries as well as intermediate
and capital industries," he noted.
Indigenizing Technology:
Being supervised by global brands
was another issue stressed by Jahangiri. He said, "We have no choice but to
work under creditable brands in an international atmosphere to be able to
transfer technology and indigenize it. Once we transferred these technologies,
but we could not take advantage of them and lost many opportunities. It seems
that research and development centers are options that can prevent past
mistakes to be repeated. We need to pay billions of dollars to transfer
technology and there is nothing wrong with this."
Jahangiri opined that the important
issue in future policies was taking advantage of advanced industries and
cutting-edge technology.
"Iran can progress in this field because
other countries do not have long records in this regard either. We enjoy
capable manpower. Therefore, advanced industries must be given enough
attention. Another important issue is small and medium industries and research
and development centers must work on this issue. Establishing research and
development is a serious necessity and should be used as a center for creating
thought. Of course, direct and indirect government support is important for
the establishment of research and development centers in industrial units, but
establishment of laboratories, educational centers and technology parks are
among direct governmental supports while exemptions are kind of indirect
supports that have been given priority," he noted.
After the conference, minister of
industries and mines was grilled by reporters. In response to their questions
he referred to the following points.
0.5% of GDP Allocated to Research:
"We have no choice but to
establish research and development centers independently. The government must
establish needed infrastructures and structures. It has no other choice. There
is the capability in domestic manpower to organize research and development
centers and pave the way for technology transfer in various fields. In
countries where industrial growth has been satisfactory and had managed to
take strides with regard to the industrial development in a 20-year process,
they had allotted up to 1% of their gross domestic products (GDP) to
development projects and even some industrial corporations have allocated up
to 10% of their profits to development projects. However, despite our low
gross domestic product, share of research, whether basic or applied, is about
0.5% of gross domestic product. Of course, we are planning to increase the
figure to 1%, which if realized would be a great achievement. For renovating
industries, the Majlis has approved an article according to which the
corporations have been obliged to spend 3% of their profits per year on
research projects. Iran’s research and development ranking among other
countries has not been specified, but it seems that we are not behind our
neighbors by a considerable margin. With regard to scientific activities we
are faring properly. However, no organized ranking has been carried out."
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If we manage to increase non-oil exports to $4 billion
during the current Iranian year realization of the $12-billion figure by
the Fourth Plan's end would be a great achievement. |
Asked if it were not better for the
ministry to oblige industrial centers to establish research and development
centers so as to keep pace with the international market, Jahangiri said it
was a necessity and every corporation without a research and development
center would be doomed to failure in the long run.
Succeeding to Decrease Automobile Price:
The issue of reducing automobile
prices has been a topic of discussion for quite a while and it had hit the
headlines time and time again as a result of remarks made by various officials
of Industrial Development and Renovation Organization as well as the managing
directors of automakers. The Minister of Industries and Mines perhaps is the
last person who has declared his viewpoints regarding reduction of car prices
during past two weeks. He said, "I am bewildered. When we reduce prices, you
(journalists) say the market is stagnant; when we raise them, you say prices
are high. The price would be unsuitable only when nobody can purchase. But
people are currently purchasing cars. Our policy during the past two years has
been to move toward lower automobile prices."
I am not opposed:
As reporters focused on
automobile imports, Jahangiri quickened his pace. He said, "I must take part
in the Cabinet session." When the question was repeated, he said, "It is not
correct from the viewpoint of Ministry of Industry and Mines to ask why a
certain commodity is not imported. The important point for me is that policies
should be drawn up so that domestic automobile industry would not think that
it has monopoly in the market and become lazy. Like other industrial
commodities, both increase and decrease in prices would have needed approval
of the Ministry of Industries and Mines in the past years. However, no
commodity needs that approval now, including automobiles. Economic conditions
in the country must be changed in such a way that no official would be
concerned about imports."
A reporter asked, "You mean you are
completely in favor of automobile imports?"
The minister responded by saying, "I am
not against it."
They Should Review:
Like other Cabinet members, when
faced with a spate of questions about the Fourth Economic Development Plan,
Jahangiri said that the plan should vanguard the country’s economic projects.
"The plan has considered an 8% growth
figure for economy and a 14% figure for the industrial sector. I, however,
think that the figure must be reviewed because we have considered a 10% growth
rate in the country’s industrial development strategy. Anyway, a general
consensus among all major bodies including management and Planning
Organization, Central Bank of Iran and Ministry of Industries and Mines is
necessary in this regard that the growth rate of the industrial sector must
not be ahead of overall growth of the economy. Regarding qualitative and
quantitative increase in the industrial production during the Fourth Plan, he
said, "The Fourth Economic Development Plan is supposed to cause a rapid
growth in the economy. All officials have braced for continuous growth during
the next 20 years. Talking about an 8% economic growth rate is easy, but its
realization would be a hard task. There are few countries that have attained
such a sustainable growth. First the tools must be provided. For example, the
government has to export $12 billion non-oil products in (the Iranian calendar
year) 1388 (2009-2010). Those products should enjoy up-to-date technology.
Therefore, we have said that the approach to the industrial sector must be
competitive. We have to interact with the world and take advantage of modern
technologies to be capable of presenting our goods at a competitive price.
Many regional contracts have been signed without considering tariffs. We
practically are not members to any regional pact, except the Economic
Cooperation Organization (ECO). We have problems for joining such
organizations. The industrial sector can contribute substantially to the
realization of the 8% economic growth. A 14-percent figure has been considered
for the industries and mines sector by the Fourth Economic Development Plan
and we are negotiating to decrease it. Out of the 8% economic growth rate,
5.1% would be realized through growth in productivity of production factors.
That growth was not positive in preceding years and something must happen
within economic corporations to bring about a positive growth."
Supporting Academicians:
"The Ministry of Industries and Mines
has prepared two plans for granting technical and engineering services based
on which all academicians who intend to take action for modeling and
economizing their projects, would be granted loans or gratuitous aid," the
minister said.
Free Market:
Making industrial corporations
competitive was another point stressed by Esshaq Jahangiri.
He said, "We announced to corporations
last year that they should engage in free competition and trade with other
countries. Therefore, we completely removed non-tariff obstacles. Now those
corporations are complaining that foreign made goods are present in the
Iranian market and they have to compete with them. If they failed inside the
country, they would not be capable of competing abroad. For this reason, one
of the serious measures that should be taken by those units is to develop
markets. We must negotiate through Foreign Ministry to make this possible. We
have conducted successful negotiations with authorities at Foreign Ministry
and they established an economic department in the ministry. The Foreign
Ministry is studying countries whose trade balance with Iran is negative. On
the other hand, production units must get attuned with modern technology,
produce high-quality products and reduce prices. We want to move toward an
industry that would reflect the country’s hidden advantages. The brunt of the
8% growth would be born by the industrial sector. Of course, the service
sector would play a substantial role. When we talk about services, some people
think about brokerage. However, when a country becomes industrialized,
technical and engineering as well as insurance and financial services are
established.
One of the challenges for the next 20
years is the young population. Both women and the university graduates would
be seeking jobs during next 20 years and the industrial sector must meet their
needs. Given the country’s economic capabilities, this would be possible. The
reason is that a strong will has been formed among high-ranking officials to
push the country toward industrial development."
Two per Thousand Profits:
Ministry of Industries and Mines will
support research and development centers both directly or indirectly through
allocation of special credits.
Jahangiri said, "Part of direct credits
would be given to Ministry of Science, Research and Technology, another part
to ministries of agricultural Jihad as well as the health and medical
education. The credit to be given Ministry of Industries and Mines is about 50
billion tomans (500 billion rials), which would be disbursed annually.
Industrial Development and Renovation Organization will spend 25% of its
profits on research. Industries and Mines Development and Renovation
Organization would be entitled to spend 25% of its profits on research and, in
fact, total resources allocated by the government and state-run companies to
research would be a considerable figure. Up to the past year, the figure was
two per thousand of sales revenues of the industrial units which adds up to a
considerable sum and would be spent on research in the respective industrial
units. |
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CURRENT ISSUE |
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Jan. 2004 / No. 27 |
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