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January
2004 / No. 27 |
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Global
Industry |
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Keeping Up to Pace with the Trendy Global Industry
The global industry has witnessed an
emergence of a new paradigm in the field of technology and the establishment
of a technical-economic system different from previous periods during the past
two decades. This paradigm combines new technologies with modern industrial
management and organizational methods and has led to the emergence of various
forms of intra-corporation and inter-corporation links at an international
level. The role of knowledge and science in production-industrial processes
has become very important and exchange of information between executives and
activists in the industrial and economic fields has remarkably increased.
Technological developments have changed international economic relations and
changes in capital flow, technology, manpower, production as well as
information ownership and property rights have led to emergence of new models
of relative advantages for production and trade of the industrial goods.
Although, the industrial world has been and continues to be the main focus of
technological developments, however, developing countries, in general, and
Iran, in particular, will be inevitably touched by the new developments in
economic-industrial relations. They would only be able to take advantage of
numerous commercial and investment opportunities in global economy and push
their own industrial development processes only if they adapt to new
conditions and pave the way for finding a suitable position in the new system
of division of labor by entering international networks of value. The most
important characteristics of global industrial development resulting from
developments in a new technical-economic atmosphere can be enumerated as
follows:
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Industries requiring science and industries with
moderate and superior technological contents have turned into pioneer
industrial fields. |
In the field of technical changes and
competitiveness: A higher share has been allocated to information, knowledge
and services in new processes of the industrial production and the share of
materials and low-skilled workforce in production of competitive industrial
corporations has dwindled. Classic industries with similar products have been
rearranged; traditional materials have been replaced by new ones and diversity
of products, design, process management, marketing, sales and publicity have
become increasingly important in industrial competition. The advantages of
having natural resources have been replaced in the new competitive model by
privileges and superiorities resulting from science and technology. In this
way, in a new global industrial atmosphere and as a result of intense
competition in industrial products’ markets, innovation, learning, resilience,
quality of products as well as production of new products, processes and
services have found a special place in realization of the competitiveness.
Industries requiring science and industries with moderate and superior
technological contents have turned into pioneer industrial fields.
In the field of emergence of new
structures for organizing production: In new industrial organizations,
hierarchical arrangements have been replaced with establishment of
intermingled production-technological networks. Industrial clusters,
industrial zones of coalitions and strategic pacts, arrangements made by
long-term industrial contractors with suppliers of materials, intermediate
goods and parts, are examples of this kind of organization.
Revolution in information and
communication technologies has made possible separating industrial production
stages and establishment of international production networks and systems
under the management of transnational corporations. This has created new
opportunities for industrialization of the developing nations proportionate to
their privileges and superiorities within framework of global value networks.
At the same time, participation of domestic and foreign industrial
corporations for obtaining necessary technology and science for the industrial
development has created new conditions for upgrading technology and
materialization of competitive performances. One of the important consequences
of establishment of an international production and new organization is
emergence of competitive superiorities on the basis of systematic (and not
individual) efficiency and productivity within framework of corporate
conglomerates. Boosting the role of small- and medium-size industries within
industrial clusters and connecting them to big complexes and industries in
global production and trade networks is another result of new industrial
arrangements.
In the field of new industrial
development paradigm and strategies: In new strategies of industrial
development, such ideas as self-sufficiency, introspection and imports
replacement have been replaced with externalized strategies targeting
integration with global economy and good placing in international
production-commercial networks. Also, taking advantage of active policies for
utilization of place advantages proportionate to necessities of the new
competition model has become an important factor in the industrial strategies.
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The industrial world has been and continues to be the
main focus of technological developments, however, developing countries,
in general, and Iran, in particular, will be inevitably touched by the
new developments in economic-industrial relations |
When adapting to new commercial and
investment regimens of the world, industrial policymaking approaches change
and biased policies would be replaced by applied policies based on creating a
suitable atmosphere and upgrading industrial capabilities. In these
strategies, although capacity creation is still an important factor for
industrial development, due to necessities of competitiveness the issue of
upgrading competitive capabilities of industries for infiltration into
international markets and networks has been given more priority. Making use of
the rules of sustainable development and environmental concerns as well as
relying on regional treaties as an important factor for the industrial
development of countries has been emphasized in national policymaking by
countries.
In the field of technology transfer:
Due to developments in the world’s industrial sphere during the past two
decades, the issue of technology transfer, especially with regard to
developing nations, has taken on more momentum. The reason can be mentioned as
follows:
- Promotion and expansion of informatics
and information technology and easier access to the industrial information
- Intense competition in international
markets and increased number of technology providers
- More reliance of technology on
scientific rather than experimental bases and increased speed of technological
developments
- Increased choices for selecting
technology as a result of numerous available technologies
- Increased pace of availability of
complicated technologies and easier facilities for using them in production of
the industrial products (crystallization of science in equipment and tools and
industrial software and reduced role of experience and skill in technology
transfer).
Number of Foreign Companies Affiliated to Transnational
Corporations in Several Selected Countries
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Country |
Year |
Quantity of Companies |
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Iran |
2001 |
29 |
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Turkey |
1995 |
136 |
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Mali |
1999 |
15,567 |
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Thailand |
1998 |
2,721 |
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South Korea |
2001 |
11,515 |
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Singapore |
1999 |
24,114 |
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Mexico |
1993 |
8,420 |
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China |
2000 |
363,885 |
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Taiwan |
2001 |
2,481 |
Source: WIR, 2002
Status of Industry in the 21st Century:
During the coming years and the
21st century, the service sector, especially services based on information
technology, will become a major source of economic growth for countries,
especially advanced industrialized states. But this will not reduce importance
of the industrial sector and its basic role as the most important factor
behind the economic growth of the developing nations. Those developing
industries that have been industrialized and attained the competitive
advantages in the field of services and service exports should probably be
excluded. Such economies as Hong Kong and Singapore will become more inclined
toward such service sectors as finance, marketing, transportation and
industrial design in the light of ongoing structural developments and in view
of the strategic position and access to their neighboring economies.
Inevitably, they would increase the absolute value of their industrial added
value and move toward science-oriented industries while share of industry in
their total gross domestic product will decrease. This trend has been
materialized in Hong Kong to a large extent. Also, in Singapore, which enjoys
a thriving industrial base, a dominant inclination toward developing service
activities has taken shape. In other developing nations, especially those
countries in which industrialization is more superficial, the industrial
sector will continue its role as the most important driving force behind the
economic growth. The reasons for this issue are varied and include:
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Innovation, learning, resilience, quality of products
as well as production of new products, processes and services have found
a special place in the realization of competitiveness |
• In economies where agriculture sector
(with low productivity) and simple service activities are dominant, the role
of the industrial sector as the most important developmental factor persists.
• Industrial sector provides more
widespread and rapid facilities for the application of science and technology
in comparison to traditional activities.
• Industrial sector is the main impetus
for establishment and development of new job creation capacities.
• Industrial sector is the main breeding
ground for establishment and development of new skills in the process of
production and management as well as organization and maintenance activities.
• When combined with externalized
strategies and export-oriented policies as well as attraction of foreign
direct investment, the industrial sector and industrial development can be
most effective in bringing about cultural changes and altering social views.
• Industrial sector can provide new,
varied and very dynamic facilities for the establishment and realization of
relative advantages and competitive advantages of international trade.
• Promoting capabilities of the
industrial sector will pave the way for growth of the national production
accompanied with increase in productivity, salaries and wages.
• Expansion and deepening of the
industrialization process and establishment of a major industrial basis are
among important conditions for developing necessary capabilities for the
establishment of new exportable service activities. Many new services and
service activities are closely related to the industry both as providers of
requirements of the industrial sector and users of skills that were initially
developed in this sector. Therefore, the industrial sector is one of the main
breeding grounds for growth of such new service activities.
• Having extensive opportunities and
facilities from the viewpoints of establishing global value links and networks
and developing capital, technological and commercial exchanges at an
international level, the industrial sector is an important factor for
expansion and deepening of international interactions and economic
globalization.
Therefore, the industrial sector will
continue to keep its role as the most important factor for economic activity
and growth of production and exports. Nonetheless, changes in economic and
industrial relations of the world have led to developments in the objectives
of the industrial development. Former paradigms of industrial development in
many countries were based on producing a wide range of goods to replace
imports and these countries looked upon industry as a means of making domestic
natural resources more valuable and diversifying structure of exports. The
main role of small- and medium-size industrial corporations was to create jobs
and skills needed for finding a job. In this paradigm, formation and
development of domestic corporations is regarded as a means of preventing
dominance of foreign corporations.
Under new atmosphere of the industrial
development many of these goals have continued to be creditable. However,
under conditions of technological changes and rapid growth of technological
advancements, as well as free trade and free flow of capital and technology,
priorities and means of realizing these goals have inevitably changed. In view
of the current circumstances and future exigencies of the global economy as
well as emergence of new competitive necessities, the industrial sector must
respond to necessities of economic competitiveness; because under these
circumstances, resilience, possibility of rapid reaction and ability to use
new technologies and logistic methods are regarded as the main determining
factors in the economic and industrial growth and survival of countries. It is
only through upgrading competitive power and competitiveness, both directly
from the inside of the industrial activities and indirectly through more
resilience and thriving of the economic structure as well as externalization
that industrial activities and the industrial sector can contribute to the
process of growth and public welfare. Achieving such goals as fighting
poverty, human development and social welfare would only be possible through
employment and development of jobs combined with increase in incomes, whose
realization under new global economic conditions would be dependent on
promoting competitive capabilities in the process of industrial development of
countries. There may be apparent incompatibilities between growth,
distribution of income and competitiveness in the short run, but these three
goals will be quite harmonious in the long run and a growth process combined
with competitiveness would lead to desirable distribution of income.
Conclusion:
The 1980s and 1990s can be
described as a birth period of new opportunities for developing nations.
During these decades, a number of developing nations whose economic conditions
were similar to Iran or even worse by the end of 1970s, succeeded to get out
of those dire straights and get closer to developed industrial nations by
adopting logical approaches and suitable strategies, through boosting their
gross domestic products and industrialization. Today, such countries as China,
South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, Mexico, Thailand, Taiwan and even Turkey,
despite some transient crises which are an intrinsic feature of
economic-social progress and consequent imbalances and a result of new
experiences and lack of preparedness for globalization, succeeded to achieve
increasing figures on per capita income, production and trade and overcame
many problems with which Iran is still grappling.
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Policies for utilization of place advantages
proportionate to necessities of the new competition model has become an
important factor in the industrial strategies. |
A comparison of figures related to
export performance of Iran with those of some newly industrialized economies
as an indicator of power to influence global markets and competitiveness and,
finally economic-industrial capabilities, shows that Iran is lagging
considerably behind developing countries. Available information shows that
although total oil and non-oil exports of Iran doubled during 1980-2000 and
non-oil exports grew from $645 million in 1980 to $4,119 million in 2000, but
its absolute value in comparison with increase in exports of newly
industrialized economies has been meager and not proportionate to potential
facilities and capabilities of the country. During all these years, oil
products accounted for 85-97 percent of total exports of Iran while export of
the industrial goods in its best years (including 2000) only made up 7-8
percent of total exports.
During those two decades, newly
industrialized economies succeeded to attain eye-catching export figures
through extensive investments and changing their economic-production
structure, 80-95 percent of which consisted of industrial exports. It is
obvious that during 2000 and with regard to commercial competitions in the
international arena, achieving mass production and exports at the level of
such high figures as $249.3 billion for China, $172.2 billion for South Korea,
$166.4 billion for Mexico and even $26.6 billion for Turkey would not have
been possible without entering global markets and producing according to
international standards, which has been made possible through cooperation with
foreign corporations and attraction of their investments. Figures related to
foreign direct investment in the said countries and their comparison with Iran
will reveal this more clearly. While foreign direct investment in Iran has
decreased by about 20 percent during those two decades and has fallen from
$2,609 million in 1980 to $2,115 million in 2000, countries successful in the
field of exports have managed to attract a great share of such investments in
the fields of construction, machinery and production equipment and have used
it as a powerful managerial lever for their economic-commercial development.
The result of this process can be
reflected in growth of manpower productivity or per capita production of the
employees with regard to total economic activities. Comparing Iran with newly
industrialized nations indicates fall of this index during two decades in Iran
against its extraordinary rise in those countries. Manpower productivity in
Iran has declined by 29 percent to fall from $9,310 in 1980 to $6,649 in 1999,
while the same index has doubled in Malaysia and Thailand, increased by 3.5
times in Hong Kong and 4 times in South Korea.
Apart from per capita growth of the
workforce, these figures indicate deepening of the industrialization process,
achieving superior technologies and entering competitive markets controlled by
developed industrialized nations through attracting foreign investments and
corporate management. Entering these markets and attracting participation of
international companies producing industrial goods, which control the lion’s
share of global commodity trade in various sectors, would not be easy. It
requires suitable circumstances in the domestic economy which are
characterized by investment security, positive motivations resulting from
relative and competitive advantages as well as facilities for boosting
profitability of production and trade under conditions of economic stability
(including a low inflation rate).
With regard to the ability to flourish
industrial and trade potentials, it suffices to say that Iran is located at
the center of the energy and trade geography of an extensive region and
neighbors 18 countries with an estimated population of about half a billion
through its land and sea borders, which constitutes one of the biggest markets
in the world. Therefore, the country enjoys extensive capabilities in terms of
establishment of a big network for production and trading materials,
intermediate goods and parts as well as the industrial tools and presentation
of logistic and industrial services in adjacent countries and access to the
big regional markets including wealthy littoral countries of the Persian Gulf.
Naturally, this situation has provided the country with enormous opportunities
with regard to establishment and development of industries, especially
intermediate industries and industrial clusters linked to global value
networks.
Ignoring such a superb situation by Iran
has provided countries in north and south of the country to earn hefty
revenues through playing the role of a go-between in a trade base, while those
revenues could have easily been earned by Iranian industrialists,
businesspeople and executives. We can and must act for the future right now.
Iran’s industrial strategy must target production for a global market in an
inter-corporation relationship with all its requirements and prerequisites.
The overt and covert regional and national advantages will automatically
charge domestic corporations and economy with the task of making the best
choice.
For developing countries, in general,
and Iran, in particular, integration with global economy will provide new
opportunities from the viewpoint of access to extensive markets and advanced
technology, development of goods exchange facilities and flow of foreign
private capital, which can facilitate the process of the economic growth and
industrial development in these countries. Economic reforms in these countries
and adoption of externalized strategies oriented toward development of exports
will both invigorate the process of globalization and pave the way for these
countries to be benefited from globalization. In successful experiences, such
reforms have been effective in improving economic condition of these countries
and prospects for their economic-industrial growth through increasing
efficiency and productivity and creating a suitable atmosphere for growth of
exports and attraction of foreign investments. Globalization and creation of
new opportunities has posed challenges for these countries too. Integration
with global economy requires establishment of more latitude for trade and
investment and an assuring environment for domestic and foreign economic
executives. Under new global economic circumstances, development of the market
and new investment opportunities is accompanied with intense competition.
These opportunities, however, can prove to be serious threats for countries
unable to take advantage of them and Iran is no exception.
The process of future economic and
industrial development of Iran and achieving a sustainable development
requires economic stability, development of physical and human capitals,
increased productivity, dynamism, diversification of production structures,
competitiveness and securing a place in higher industrial production and
commercial domains within the new international system of division of labor.
Attention to these points can pave the way for the integration of the
country’s economy and industry with global economy and industry in a secure
way (export of goods and services against import of goods and services with
special emphasis on the major role and share of the industrial goods) and
consolidate the fundaments of national security and sovereignty. Selecting a
strategy for future industrial development of Iran within framework of
dominant economic and industrial tendencies and trends in the world must be
based on linking the Iranian economy and industry with global economy and
industry as well as strategic, two-way integration in the international
market. |
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CURRENT ISSUE |
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Jan. 2004 / No. 27 |
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