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President’s Economic Viewpoints |
As his second and final term draws closer to its end,
President Mohammad Khatami is looking back on the economic achievements of his
time in office. His government has dragged the economy through many ups and
downs over the course of six years and despite some remarkable successes, the
President still talks about Iran’s ailing economy in many of his speeches.
This Q&A seeks to let the President elaborate on the nature of the ailment and
ways he proposes to treat it.
In your opinion, what is the main ailment of the Iranian
economy and what have you done to remedy it?
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Today, our economy is not dynamic and productive,
although it could have been so and we are determined to make it so |
Our economic problems are rooted in the
past. I don’t mean the past few governments, but the root cause should be
sought in political and economic history of the country. Today, our economy is
not dynamic and productive, although it could have been so and we are
determined to make it so. Infrastructural economic problems can be mentioned
as dependence of government’s revenues on oil, dependence of the country’s
economic growth on foreign exchange revenues earned through crude oil exports,
lack of varied financial and monetary markets, lack of a logical and
coordinated connection with global monetary markets, low non-oil exports,
state-run economy and the like, in addition to daily problems such as high
price of public goods and housing in comparison to income of households, and
unemployment.
Every one of these problems has its own
solution. The government has always tried and will continue to try to correct
the existing conditions through finding legal solutions including obtaining
necessary permits, approving laws and regulations through concerned bodies,
supplying resources, management of economic resources, attraction of domestic
and foreign capital and directing them toward production.
Of course, it must be noted that solving
infrastructural problems, at times, leads to creation of temporary hardships
for people. My government has always tried to identify these problems and make
compensatory decisions to minimize pressures on low-income strata. The
existing structures have become institutionalized in our minds and any effort
to change them is generally faced with resistance. The important point is how
we approach such resistance and treat it. We have tried to minimize this
resistance through census and reduce friction by getting the agreement of
legal authorities and people’s representatives (in the Majlis).
However, people are continuously
grappling with everyday problems. They include some shortages, high prices, as
well as low quality of some goods and services. We must work harder to solve
these problems. Although to solve the problems facing the current generation,
a consumption model should be formed in such a way as to pave the way for
attraction of capital to all economic sectors and prosperity of
non-governmental and especially private corporations. Economic dynamism and
job creation would be impossible without investment.
One of the ancient aspirations of the Iranian nation,
especially during the Islamic Revolution, was realization of social justice
and equitable wealth distribution. Now after a quarter of century that has
passed since the victory of the Islamic Revolution, to what extent do you
think that those ends have been achieved and basically, has the Iranian
society been moving in that direction?
Based on studies, the Gini index, which
is an index of income distribution among various social strata, has greatly
improved compared with pre-revolution period. However, we must be aware that
there are various tools for equality of wealth distribution. Perhaps the most
important of those tools are taxes as well as the social security.
Taxes can play a pivotal role in
distribution of wealth in the country and preventing amassment of wealth
through exacting surplus revenues of people. The new law of direct taxes and
its modern approach will help he government take basic steps for correcting
the Gini index and encouraging equitable wealth distribution. Good
developments have taken place with regard to social security during past 5-6
years and I hope they would continue in the future.
What solutions the government has taken to reduce class
division?
The class differences are not exclusive
to our country or economy and are not a new phenomenon of our time; rather
they have been present in all societies and the main concern is the depth of
those differences.
As I said before, based on studies class
differences, as determined by Gini index, have lessened during past 25 years.
The same is true about economic corruption, which is a common phenomenon in
all societies. Of course, we expect more from a religious democracy and our
norms should be higher than those of other societies.
By organizing economic activities in the
country and improving structures, many current problems can be solved and I
emphasize that social problems (including structural economic issues) cannot
be solved through approving a single law or a taking a single measure, but
time is needed before they come to fruition. More supervision by the
government on the executive bodies, elimination of legal obstacles, amending
financial and managerial regulations, downsizing the government and going on
with privatization drive are major measures, which have been or are being
taken by the government.
Experts have reminded the troublesome impact of goods
smuggling on the national economy. How was the trend of goods smuggling under
your government?
Smuggling must be divided in two
categories. One is entry to the country of illegal commodities while the other
one is entry of authorized goods through illegal channels. The first category
should be fought by boosting supervision over borders and seriously punishing
smugglers. The government has taken positive measures in this regard by
supplying equipment, tools and other necessary facilities for legal
authorities including the police force. Due to laudable efforts made by the
police and other authorities, I believe that smuggling is declining.
However, the second type of smuggling;
that is illegal entry of authorized goods, must be prevented by making
domestic markets competitive compared to foreign markets both qualitatively
and quantitatively.
A step taken by us has been removal of
tariff obstacles for import of goods and considering suitable tariffs for
imports and we have been partly successful in this regard. In other words,
competitiveness of the economy, unification of foreign exchange rate and,
finally, preventing establishment of illegal entries and exits at border
points and making economy competitive will reduce motivations for smuggling.
The government has mentioned turning Iran into the most
important economic and political power in the region as its major goal of the
newly drafted industrial strategy of the country for the next 20 years. How,
do you think that this could be realized?
Iran is a potentially powerful and
wealthy country that enjoys exclusive advantages and young manpower is our
most important capital. Iran enjoys all prerequisites of a rapid economic
growth. The 20-year strategy delineates a large scale context for putting
potentials into action.
We are among the most ancient nations in
the world in scientific, historical, social, political and economic terms and
still need science and perseverance. Praiseworthy economic growth,
developments in industry, mines and agriculture as well as boosting services
and the ability to do great works have been achieved during recent years and
raised our hope in the future.
Of course, achieving those position
needs prerequisites that would be realized during the Fourth Economic
Development Plan and everybody should to anything they can in this regard. We
hope to achieve those goals during the five-year development plan.
The government has always considered privatizations one of
its large scale policies and it has even been called as the remedy for the
Iranian economy by the economic minister of the Cabinet. However,
privatization goals have not been realized and, for example, out of 14,000
billion rials projected privatization revenues for the current year (2002-03),
officials say only about 10,000 billion rials would probably be realized. Many
experts believe that this is a result of resistance put up within the
government. What is your opinion, do you confirm existence of such resistance
or not? What is the main obstacle to privatization?
Passing though a state-run economy
dependent on oil to a private one is not a simple task. Naturally, if there
has been resistance to privatization, it has been largely eliminated. A list
of companies has been drawn up and executive mechanisms have been determined.
The government has not considered privatization a source of budget, but it is
an approach to downsizing the government, people’s participation and
materialization of sustainable development.
Head of Management and Planning Organization has announced
that 20,000 billion rials of the government’s revenues would not be realized
during the current year. Since this year, we have been experiencing the best
conditions with regard to realization of oil revenues, what is the reason for
budget deficit? What have you done in this regard?
One of the most important and
infrastructural moves of the government was to make a balance between its
expenses and revenues. We could inject surplus oil revenues into the economy.
This trend had been rife throughout our history and it led to political and
social popularity of the governments too. However, the government preferred to
settle surplus oil revenues to the Forex Reserve Fund and not the Treasury.
The needed revenues of the government
must be supplied by from other sources, the most important of which is direct
taxes. In the future we would witness the effects of the amended tax law,
especially when the bill for added value tax is ratified and enforced. I and
my government emphasize realization of other revenues projected by law. Of
course, we must not forget that budget is only a projection and its
realization requires suitable conditions.
What characterizes your foreign policy in comparison to
previous governments?
During the past 25 years, our country
has passed through many junctures and crises and has been generally
successful. Naturally, we have adopted various policies and strategies in the
face of every crisis in line with the basic principles of our revolution. For
example, the war required a kind of policy, which was different from the
policy adopted during the reconstruction period.
The present government has always
stressed boosting public participation and civil society to promote the
Islamic Republic of Iran’s standing in the international arena. We achieved
this goal last year and many countries tried to mend fences with us. This
achievement was reflected in the country’s trade figures as well as growth of
foreign direct investment and tourism, apart from temporary period that
coincided with wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Therefore, continuation of those
achievements requires success of the whole system in promoting civil society.
The more we would be successful in this regard, the more successful would be
our foreign policy. Although hostilities are high, if the trend initiated by
this government had continued and numerous obstacles were not created, we
would have been much more successful today.
How successful has the theory of ‘Dialogue among
Civilizations’ been in promoting détente in the international scene and
advancement of Iran’s political developments outside the country?
The dialogue among civilizations and
détente, although are not contradictory, are of two different types. Dialogue
among civilizations is a general solution that depicts a paradigm whose
international aspect is more important than its domestic aspect while détente
directly affects our country.
Dialogue among civilizations was
proposed under conditions that tendencies resulting from the theory of clash
of civilizations had bedeviled the international atmosphere to the extent that
any kind of cooperation was close to be replaced with hostility and
unilateralism. This message assumed an international aspect before long and a
kind of census was reached over it by the international community. It also
played a great role in boosting our country’s standing with the international
community.
Of course, the main addressees of
dialogue among civilization are thinkers and cultural people and not
politicians, though when it spreads, it would affect politicians too. However,
this theory has strong enemies the most important of which has been reflected
in two kinds of extremist views that lead to the most destructive form of
terrorism, on the one hand, and to war, invasion and destabilizing
international atmosphere, on the other hand.
However, détente is a known term in the
world’s political literature and we have availed a lot of it. We must move
toward international and regional cooperation through adopting détente policy
and we have taken effective steps in this regard. |