One of the main distinctions of the
Iranian economy is its relatively large underground economy. This part of the
Iranian economy, which is known as unofficial, parallel, unregistered, gray or
underground economy includes all legal and illegal activities for which no tax
is paid or are not registered as part of the gross domestic product (GDP). The
size of underground economy in every country depends on complexities of that
country’s tax system, intensity of punishments, executive capacities of
economic laws and tolerance of that society with regard to official
corruption.
Iran is not the sole country where this
dichotomy exists. What makes Iran stand out in this regard is that this
situation is not solely a flaw, but in fact a byproduct of the laws and
political structure of the country. This economy is the result of coexistence
between the ruling system and their trade supporters in the market. On the
contrary, in democratic and liberal systems, where such unregistered
activities are closely monitored, the illegal economy has to deal with strict
laws. Political and judicial officials of Iran have willingly or unwillingly
fostered illegal part of the economy or it has been treated with extreme
carelessness. It is true that some instances of illegal economic activities
have received media attention and despite the fact that all political groups
have warned about them, such activities have been seldom treated in a serious
manner.
To come up with a clear picture of the
underground economy, we must study it according to law and characteristics of
people who are involved in such activities.
From a legal viewpoint, this part of the
economy should be divided into two categories: legal or ultra-legal and
illegal. The legal part comprises unregistered economic activities which are a
common feature of almost all developing countries where such activities are
ignored when assessing gross domestic product. Such activities include: value
of services, family members, and added value which is a result of economic
activities that are done outside the home; unregistered monetary exchanges,
exchange of goods or barter trade among specialists and skilled workers; as
well as true value of privileges considered for high-ranking officials and
transfer of capital which has not been registered as part of payments.
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Establishment of state-run institutions and
semi-governmental charity institutions which act in parallel to official
economy has created a suitable atmosphere for non-transparent trade |
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The ultra-legal part is a spin-off of
private monopolies which have been given permits for foreign trade as well as
exclusive rights for domestic distribution; credit market network out of the
framework of state-run banking system, as well as a multitude of buyable
transactions. Activities in this part of the economy include: access to
special information as well as buying opportunities and some activities that
enjoy dual nature and are sometimes considered legal and sometimes illegal due
to different interpretations of the law. Therefore, they must be categorized
quite arbitrarily.
Illegal economy encompasses those acts
that are considered illegal standing alone or in conjunction with other
factors. Such acts include: drug trafficking, smuggling, breaching
intellectual property rights, money laundering, organized prostitution,
dealing in body parts and fetuses, kidnapping, blackmail, dealing in protected
antiques, and bribery during state transactions.
Iran’s underground economy is like a
vast stage on which not only main performers, but also some spectators play a
role (both legal and illegal). Main players include a large number of private
firms protected by the government which are making money; a number of
semi-governmental charity foundations; a wide network of non-transparent
credit markets at bazaar and religious places which receive donations from the
faithful; as well as some financial institutions which are not real banks
including Garz-al-Hassaneh (interest-free loan) institutes and nonprofit
credit institutes.
Second-hand players include merchants
and businesspeople that evade foreign trade laws and hide true value of their
transactions outside the country as well as at free economic zones. Other such
players include travelers that purchase goods in excess of their customs
exemptions, consumers that sell their commodity vouchers in the black market,
small-time investors involved in speculations on foreign exchange and gold,
employers who hide the number of their employees to evade social security
costs and unemployment insurance premiums; sellers who sell medicines at a
higher price, as well as physicians that charge their patients more than legal
tariffs, small-time hoarders that buy needed goods in advance (such as
automobiles, cellphones and houses) and sell them in the black market as well
as many brokers who facilitate people’s relations with authorities and various
governmental offices.
For example, some people solve problems
related to private ownership through new laws and are paid a commission for
doing that. They can also take heavy loans from the banks for their clients.
Such go-betweens pay bills of driving offenses as well as overdue taxes
without going through bureaucratic formalities.
Small players include family members
every one of whom accepts a distinct role at home such as caring for children
or washing dishes without being paid for it. Other small players include
executives of small economic activities such as consultants.
Providers of specialized services such
as physicians and engineers, accountants, and architects are engaged in a
barter trade while workers and full-time civil servants have to be employed in
two or three places just to make ends meet. Also, hawkers and smugglers are
among other small players of this performance.
The main reason, however, is a
non-democratic history and tribal structure of the government. A wall of
distrust has been erected between the nation and the government for centuries
and has caused people to hide their activities from the government as much as
possible.
The government and ruling system (which
is considered by people as avaricious, oppressive and colonialist) give a good
reason to people to hide their true income from untrustworthy state
authorities. Payment of taxes was exercised in Iran for the first time after
Arabs conquered Iran. It was a punishment for non-Muslims and those who later
became Muslims. Therefore, historical memory of the Iranian nation is awash
with unjust taxes and this gives them illogical justification for tax evasion
at a time when the main reason is no more existent.
Some religious regulations including
Khums1 and Zakah (Alms), which are given to religious
authorities, lead to amassment of riches that are not calculated as part of
the GDP. Such payments to sources of emulation as well as gifts and donations
to religious shrines by people have always been used to promote educational
services as deemed expedient by the same "sources of emulation". However,
there is no accurate estimate of them because they are not registered
anywhere.
The government once allowed ministries
of intelligence and defense to embark on economic activities. Activities of
those ministries are never revealed due to their secret nature. On the other
hand, other ministries such as petroleum, commerce, economic affairs, as well
as industries and mines have launched many companies which are involved in
economic activities. They were meant to contribute to domestic economic
activities and production, but their budgetary performance is not clear and
they are immune against audits. Balance sheets of the said companies are never
fully published. On the other hand, selling petrodollars by the Central Bank
of Iran in the black market will lead to tax evasion and such transactions are
not registered anywhere. Some authorities have unaccounted for facilities such
as automobiles, housing and heavy budgets at their disposal without being
supervised or audited. Establishment of such state-run institutions and
semi-governmental charity institutions which act in parallel to official
economy has created a suitable atmosphere for non-transparent trade.
Relations with influential figures have
led to birth and growth of many private monopolies. Such monopolies in various
production, foreign trade and domestic distribution sectors, own unaccounted
for riches which are not registered anywhere and are considered by economists
as economic rent.
Adopting unsuitable macroeconomic, and
sometime erroneous, policies after victory of the Islamic Revolution in Iran
has created another ground for such shadow economic activities. For example,
lack of resilience and inefficiency of state banking system along with
insufficiency of money market has led to growth of a big, unofficial credit
network.
Unwillingness of banks for granting more
loans to customers who are ready to take risks, but lack adequate mortgage,
and on the other hand, willingness of those banks to grant big loans to state
institutions has made small-time producers to take to the black market credit
network. According to an unofficial report, about 20-25 percent of annual
credits needed by the agriculture sector are provided by the market. While in
1978, market accounted for less than 20% of private sector’s credits; the
figure now stands at more than 40%.
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Financial turnover of drug trafficking has been
estimated at $5 billion while the figure for embezzlement at state-run
banks and companies has been mentioned at about $1 billion |
Instability of state regulations and
apprehension about confiscation of property has directed investments toward
the private sector. Continued slow growth of Iran’s official economy and
persistent unemployment in the market, have exacerbated that problem. Low
investment and low productivity of investment have slackened economic growth,
and in addition to burgeoning population, have reduced per capita income and
worsened poverty.
On the other hand, such measures as
controlling prices, paying subsidies on a large scale in addition to
distribution system for commodity vouchers and allocating budget to an
emergency employment plan have all contributed to expansion and enlargement of
underground economy. Controlling prices, has given rise to a black market,
while paying hefty subsidies has encouraged fuel smuggling to neighboring
countries.
Finally, a host of measures taken by the
government (unequal taxes, high tariffs and increasing prices) in addition to
inefficient regulations (which require a permit for investment and any type of
economic activities) has encouraged many institutions whose economic
activities are legal to get engaged in underground economic activities, that
is, they refrain from registering their transactions.
Another important factor is low share of
women in economic activities. Share of women from official domestic workforce
stands at only 12% while the range of their unofficial activities is much
wider. This has gotten women engaged in more home-bashed activities. In
general, home-based workshops with less than five workers, which have been run
by women, have been mushrooming in many big cities, but their production and
revenues are not calculated as part of the GDP.
Finally, the government’s inability to
impose legal restrictions and regulations has paved the way for overexpansion
of the underground economy. Using cash in everyday transactions, absence of
obligatory laws to necessitate registration of economic entities, shortage of
experienced personnel and lack of enough financing budget, lack of experts to
control economic activities as well as institutionalization of corruption has
discouraged a big part of the economic firms to register and control their
activities.
According to unofficial sources, 2-4
billion dollars of goods enter the country every year while $3 billion leaves
the country. Financial turnover of drug trafficking has been estimated at $5
billion while the figure for embezzlement at state-run banks and companies has
been mentioned at about $1 billion. Though these figures are not official,
there is ample proof to uphold this.
Underground economy has a long record in
the Iranian history both as a legal source of money and as a good ground for
illegal activities in the market and tax evasion. It seems, however, that lack
of monetary and financial transparency has expanded this economic sector.
Nonetheless, real size of this market cannot be pinpointed. Economists working
with the Central Bank of Iran have chosen a method based on two general
indexes to show the volume of unofficial economy. Those factors include:
average annual money demand by people and difference between the expenses of a
middle class family and its earnings. Increased liquidity can also foster
unofficial economy because most unregistered economic transactions are done in
cash. On the other hand, when a household’s costs persistently surpass its
earning while total debts of that family do not increase, it indicates that
the budget gap in that family is being filled through unofficial resources.
Taking into account all the
aforementioned factors, we can come to a general conclusion. Based on figures
released by the Central Bank of Iran, ratio of liquidity to GDP, which
amounted to 15.8% in 1979 (when the underground economy was the smallest),
reached 244.35% in 1991 and increased to 573.3% in 2001.
It goes without saying that the said
growth is not merely attributable to underground economy, but is possibly due
to incessant growth of liquidity. Periodical statistics released in 2001, show
that the earnings of a middle class urban family only covers 92% of that
family’s expenses with the figure standing at 87% in rural areas. Therefore,
to fill the said gap, family members use revenues resulting from unregistered
activities. Although this figure has fallen with regard to urban families
since 1991, it is clear that the reason is not downsizing underground economy,
but the families have tried to reduce their expenses through economy.
Another index which has been thus far
used to measure underground economy since the victory of the Islamic
Revolution is nongovernmental jobs. Official reports show that between 1976
and 1996, governmental jobs have been on the decline for urban and rural
workers while the number of jobs that amount to small production and need
small capital, have been on the rise. Based on an unofficial report, 12% of
the urban workforce consists of retail storekeepers, hawkers, private cars
carrying passengers, and motor couriers. Low-income jobs have made family
members to engage in several places to make up for low income.
Considering these figures, the volume of
underground economy has been estimated at about 22-25 percent in early 1990s.
Increased demand for money, widened gap between incomes and family expenses as
well as increased nongovernmental jobs have increased that figure to 30-35
percent.
The growing underground economy is
affecting all domestic economic activities. The negative effect of the
expansion of underground economy is to deprive state Treasury from tax
revenues and, thus, worsening budget deficit and reducing investments by the
private sector. For this reason, providing state services need big loans. The
biggest the underground economic activities, the weaker will be the provision
of public services.
Also, problems caused by illegal nature
of such activities will lead to wastage of resources. Non-transparent
transactions will give rise to a private mafia as well as terrorist attacks
inside and outside the country. Also, such activities will disrupt calculation
of GDP and distribution system and undermine supervision over economic
policies.
The positive effect, however, is that
resilience of unofficial economy may cause governmental economic activities to
become resilient in the long run. For example, financial independence of
market-based credit networks cause stability under unexpected financial
crises. On the other hand, since market-based credit network has been built on
human relations and mutual trust, they reduce costs of information and
implementation. Also, people who cannot be employed by the state-run sector
will find jobs in those networks. In general, however, since underground
economy leads to negative economic shocks, wastage of resources, inattention
to investment priorities as well as lack of suitable control and supervision,
its overall effect on the country’s economy is deeply negative.
(Footnotes)
1
Khums, literally means one-fifth. One-fifth of the spoils of war are
earmarked for the struggle to exalt the Word of God and to help the orphans,
the needy, the wayfarer and the Prophet’s kinsmen.