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March 2006, No. 39 |
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Economy |
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The major
characteristic of unordinary economy is that its products and services are
legal, but production or distribution operations include illegal
procedures. |
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Unending
Unofficial Economy |
Unofficial economy has greatly enlarged over the past
years. This name, which is sometimes synonymous with underground, unordinary,
shadow and gray economy has led to many challenges. It seems that if it keeps
expanding over the coming years, the unofficial economy will become a crisis
for official economy. Bijan Bidabad, an economic expert, has expressed his
viewpoints in the following interview.
Please explain about dimensions and importance of
unofficial economy in our country. How much of our economy is official and how
much of it is unofficial?
Unofficial economy is an intangible part of the economy. It
is intangible because it cannot be included within the frame of statistical
and supervisory regulations and bypasses official parts of the economy.
Normally, conventional parts of the economy are included in statistics as well
as supervisory functions of the government, but operations in unofficial part
are out of the said realms. For this reason, they are considered a hidden part
of the economy.
What dimensions does the unofficial part have?
The unofficial part includes small producers and their
workers, retail businesses without workers, those working in the field of
trade services, transportation and so on. In developing countries, hawkers as
well as small workshops lacking workers, which are mainly at personal houses
and their number is high, are major manifestations of such activities.
What is the difference between official part and household
activities?
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When investment risk is high,
people should think of ways to bypass those costs, for example, by
paying bribes to customs officers. |
The main difference between unofficial economic activities
and those conducted within the frame of a household is that in unofficial
activities, produced goods or services are given to other producers or are
offered to end user as final commodity or service. However, in household
activities, what is done at home is an economic activity, which is not
considered to belong to unofficial economy. For example, housekeeping by
housewives such as caring for children, cooking food and other services are
household activities, which are not included in state statistics, but are not
part of the unofficial economy because such services are provided at home.
Unofficial part is that part of the economy whose goods and services enter
market transactions one way or another. Such market transactions set prices
and should be registered according to regulations of national audit system,
which is not the case. On the other hand, we have other economic sectors,
which are subsets of the unofficial economy. For example, unordinary economy
is total economic activities whose products are legal, but activities involved
in them are against domestic laws. This part is called unordinary economy. Of
course, there are many names in unofficial economy such as underground
economy, hidden economy as well as invisible, parallel, second, shadow or
unreported economy.
What is the difference between illegal economy, such as
smuggling, and unofficial economy?
The major characteristic of unordinary economy is that its
products and services are legal, but production or distribution operations
include illegal procedures. For example, there are many ways for tax evasion,
which are considered unordinary part of evading regulations. They are
classified as unordinary due to not observing safety regulations for
workshops, not insuring their workers, not observing laws about minimum
workers’ pay, lack of registration, lack of permit, misuses of various
insurance services, collusion with tax officer, taking advantage of migrants
whose employment is illegal, as well as illegal transactions in foreign
exchange or similar instances. However, in illegal part, the very production
of goods and services is illegal and, in other words, all economic activities
in it, including production and distribution, are considered to be against the
law. Illegal activities such as producing narcotics, prostitution, dealing in
alcoholic drinks and so on, are not covered by national audits. Of course,
some of those activities are legal or illegal depending on laws and
regulations of every country.
For example, prostitution is legal in Germany, but is
illegal in many countries. Growing narcotics is legal in Afghanistan, but
illegal in many countries. such activities could be considered legal or
illegal and include a wide range of activities such as forging documents,
printing illegal credit documents, theft, pick-pocketing, production and
distribution of illegal goods and services, smuggling, robbing, bribery, and
so forth. All of these activities are considered illegal and most of them are
prohibited in most countries. Anyway, if we classify them according to
production behaviors, transactions, price or registration, the result is that
production in conventional part of the economy is legal, transactions are
going on, and goods have set prices and are registered in a national registry.
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Unofficial economy is an
intangible part of the economy. It is intangible because it cannot be
included within the frame of statistical and supervisory regulations and
bypasses official parts of the economy. |
In household sector, production of goods is quite legal,
but there is no transaction of goods and no price and production is registered
in a national registry. In the unofficial economy, production of goods and
services is legal and those goods and services are dealt in. However, they are
not registered in a national registry and are not included in state
statistics. In unordinary sector, production of goods is legal, but there are
violations in production activities. In other words, goods and services are
being exchanged, but there are legal violations and prices are phasic. Phasic
prices are those prices are not definite because there is no clear market for
such goods and services while they are registered in national registry. In the
illegal sector, the whole process of production and distribution of goods and
services is against the law and prices are also phasic, without being
registered in the national registry. This is a general classification for
recognizing hidden and underground economy. As I said before, many of those
activities that I mentioned at the end are unordinary and illegal and done
under hidden or underground economy.
How does the unofficial economy come into being?
The most important factor for creation of unofficial
economy is approved laws. Approved laws change productivity of production of
goods and services. Assume that a tax limitation is considered for an economic
activity or insurance, social security or safety restriction is considered for
a business. In that case, producers will be left with two options: first,
continue production in a legal way respecting that limitation; and second,
bypassing that limitation and produce the same good in an illegal way. In
these two conditions, two different prices will be set for the produced
commodity. The price set through the first way, which is the legal way, will
be higher than the second way. As a result, production through that way will
be economical because the cost price would be lower. For example, a workshop
produces carpets without insuring workers because every carpet weaver should
pay a lot of money as insurance premium to Social Security Organization.
Therefore, workers are employed covertly and work covertly. As a result owner
of the workshop evades paying 20% premiums for workers. If he bribes 2% of
that figure to insurance inspectors, 18% will remain as net profit. This is a
result of approved laws, which intend to interfere in any form of economic
activity.
Is it lower in developed countries?
Legal punishments considered for various crimes affect cost
of violations. Therefore, if somebody evades tax under conditions where the
fine will be equal to the tax that he has not paid, it would be wiser not to
pay tax because if they are caught, the fine will be equal to what they should
have paid under normal circumstances. Now let’s assume that punishment for
evading tax is as much as the money he has paid as tax. In that case,
mathematical possibility for not paying tax will be low. From a statistical
viewpoint, if a person evades tax for one or two or three times and is caught
after the sixth instance of tax evasion, he will have to pay as much as ten
times his legal tax. As a result, the cost of not paying tax would be so high
as to make tax payment more reasonable. This is the case in advanced
countries, if you cross a red light, the fine will be as high as, say, one
million tomans. Therefore, it is better to wait one minute behind the red
light than to have to pay that high figure. When the fine is high, offense
will become too costly. Another point is that supervisory systems should be
healthy. For example, if insurance inspectors could be bought for a small
bribe, then tax evasion rate will be high. But if supervisors are tough it
will be difficult for offenders to grease their palms.
How you can merge unofficial economy in official economy?
First, we must try to reduce government’s control over the
economy. The government should not interfere in all people’s affairs. For
example, when cement price increased over the past week, the government
interfered on behalf of consumers, added the cement to protection basket and
banned cement exports. That is, it ignored the rights of cement investors,
most of whom are ordinary people holding stocks, in favor of consumers. This
is interference in people’s affairs.
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In household sector,
production of goods is quite legal, but there is no transaction of goods
and no price and production is registered in a national registry. |
In other words, it is interference in people’s ownership
rights, interference in investment security, and finally, interference in all
future investment grounds. This interference is considered a risk factor for
investment. When investment risk is high, people should think of ways to
bypass those costs, for example, by paying bribes to customs officers. We have
been complaining about smuggling for years while a large amount of foreign
goods are being sold in Tehran and other cities. The question is how a
shipment of goods has easily crossed southern, northern and western borders to
enter the country and be distributed all across Iran despite the fact that it
is still considered smuggling? Therefore, commodities that have found their
way into Tehran are either permitted or have reached here after bypassing
security officer. It means that the government has issued permits against
general regulations at certain junctures for entry of those goods, or
smugglers have greased the palms of security and customs officers.
Otherwise, this high quantity of smuggled goods cannot
reach Tehran aboard helicopters. Anyway, legal limitations lead to illegal
activities and the more those limitations are reduced; economic activities
will become more transparent.
In your opinion, in what economic, agriculture, industrial
or service sector does unofficial economy, play a more pronounced role?
If taken as illegal economy, unofficial economy would be
different from unordinary economy. In unordinary economy, production and
distribution of goods in a legal form is of no objection. However, illegal
production and distribution of those goods will be forbidden. For example,
production of alcoholic drinks or narcotics and their distribution is
forbidden in Iran. Production of textile is not forbidden. When we use
unofficial economy it means those conditions when production of a commodity is
legal, but its transaction is not registered, such as what hawkers do. These
are examples of unofficial economic activities, which are not illegal, but
they are called unofficial because production and distribution of those goods
is not registered anywhere and such activities are not covered by official
statistics and analyses. Unordinary economy, however, is that apart of
economic activities where production and transaction of goods is originally
lawful, but violations occurring afterwards.
Which one is more important; industry, service sector, or
agriculture?
The value of labor is different in various activities.
Unofficial activities are common in traditional economic sectors. In
semi-industrial activities, unordinary activities increase while illegal
activities are more common with regard to special commodities.
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Illegal activities such
as producing narcotics, prostitution, dealing in alcoholic drinks and so
on, are not covered by national audits. |
According to figures announced by the United Nations
anti-drug headquarters, a lot of illicit drugs produced in Afghanistan are
stored in Iran. Due to price difference of narcotics between western and
eastern borders, that difference stands at about 40,000 billion rials. The
value of narcotics trafficked in the world in 1980s alone has been estimated
to be above the value of global oil exports. It is true about Iran too.
Earning through drug transit or sales has been roughly equal to Iran’s oil
revenues in 2001 and 2002. In other words, 76% of opium as well as 10% of
heroine and morphine and 5% of hashish produced in the world is being stored
in Iran. During the same year, estimated money laundered in Iran amounted to
35,000 billion rials. According to another report by Anti-Drug Headquarters in
2001, the figure stood at about 35,000-40,000 billion rials. If we added
earning through transit of drugs, which is about 40,000 billion rials, total
revenues through drug trafficking would amount to 80,000 billion rials, which
is very close to oil revenues during the same year, which stood at about
100,000 billion rials. The same is true about other special commodities. For
example, smuggling humans, alcoholic drinks, and cigarettes are other illegal
commodities that account for a profitable trade worldwide. Financial turnover
of mafia, which works through 3,000-5,000 members in 25 families, has been
estimated at about $200 billion per year with resultant profits netting $75
billion. Other goods (cigarettes, alcoholic beverages) follow a similar
pattern. According to figures produced by head of Iran Tobacco Company,
between $800 million to $1 billion were spent on buying foreign cigarettes in
2001 and 2002. When it comes to prostitution, current estimates indicate that
about 200 million women and young girls are working in international
prostitution networks and share of revenues earned through Internet sex
activities in 2002 alone, has been estimated at about 7-13 billion dollars.
Other items include automobiles and home appliances.
Automobiles are smuggled into neighboring countries and home appliances enter
the country. Sugar smuggling was so intense that 450,000 tons domestically
produced sugar was not sold. During that year (2002), total sugar smuggled was
estimated at about 300,000 tons, worth about 1,400 billion rials. Textiles
smuggled into the country have been valued at about 0.5 billion dollars or
about 4,000-5,000 billion rials. Smuggled textile sometime accounts for up to
60% of domestic consumption. Tea smuggling is another instance and during some
years, about 200,000 tons tea is smuggled into the country. Smuggled tea
enters the country through transit. In some instances, for example with regard
to computer parts, the smuggled goods enter Mehrabad Airport, but are not
offloaded. Then the plane flies to another city and when passengers board the
plane, it goes back to Tehran. In that case, the cargo is considered domestic
and does not have to go through customs offices.
Another instance of smuggling is monopolized production of
a commodity. Illegal or unordinary economic activities create special
conditions or economic rents for special people, including statesmen. Under
those conditions, producers give out special commodities on which they have
monopolies. For example, a single corporation has exclusive rights for
exporting pistachios. Also, permits for producing goods that are related to
oil industry or pharmaceuticals industry are given to special groups or
producers and this will amount to economic rents. That is, such sectors as oil
and pharmaceuticals and many of their subsectors practically work along
illegal or unordinary economic lines. |
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CURRENT ISSUE |
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March 2006
No. 39 |
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