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July
2007, No. 44 |
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Migration |
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The lag between production of human capital and economic
development, which is manifested in production of human capital surpassing its
application in the process of economic development of the country can be
defined in various ways.
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Theorists of human capital have
emphasized on the importance of this issue as the main basis of social and
economic development and consider educational investment as bedrock for the
production of human capital. According to their studies, there is some
correlation between average educational background of adults, cost of
education as part of gross domestic product, literacy rates as well as
enrolment rates, on the one side, and economic development, on the other side.
By comparing the output of human capital with other forms of capital, they
measure role of education in economic growth and conclude that a large part of
production growth rate in the United States has resulted from investment in
education. The economic growth rate in some countries including East Asian
nations is explained according to speed and rate of investment in education.
During recent years, special emphasis
has been put on "investment in human resources" and many developmental
economists have attributed rapid growth of capital to concentration of human
capital and enhancement of technical skills. Human capital is a combination of
cultural capital (science, knowledge, skill and specialty) and physical
capital (health status of people as a result of education and health care) and
is saved in human resources including scientists, engineers, specialists and
skilled manpower. Modern economists have taken their attention from material
investment (in labor, land and capital) to non-material investment and
maintain that efficiency of material investment is related to capacity of
non-material resources as well as investment in production of human capital.
Lack of balance between accumulation of material capital and expansion of
human abilities is a factor that reduces capacity, effectiveness and
productivity of capital and makes development a difficult process.
The issue of knowledge-based development
which has been introduced over the past few years and expansion of
knowledge-related activities as a main source for production of added value,
has turned scientists into the main driving force behind generation of wealth
and economic dynamism. Therefore, educational investment aimed at promoting
learning processes is, once more, a focus of attention for policymakers.
Iranian authors have also emphasized on the importance of manpower and make
development of the country conditional on development of human resources. When
talking about human capital, higher education is considered an investment,
whose added value will be reflected in the whole economic system by training
educated people in the medium and short term. The higher people’s education
is, their income will also be higher and this will improve economic situation
of the country. Also, higher education in a society will mean more
technological innovation and higher productivity.
According to theory of human capital,
education and technical skill will pave the way for earning more money.
Therefore, the cost of education or learning a skill constitutes a form of
investment. In this theory, the model of demand for higher education is more
affected by economic output than anything else. This shows the importance and
effect of labor market conditions on decision-making and close relationship
between the educated labor market and demand for higher education. From a
strategic viewpoint, this has frequently encouraged more investment in
education and in some cases; has led to criticism of higher education
performance of the society or education of unskilled people along with
recommendations for promoting quality of higher education.
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In
Iran, educational investments have overshadowed social,
cultural and political behaviors and attitudes and have also
had economic consequences.
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Though this paper accepts the necessity
of increasing educational investment and boosting higher education’s quality,
but it does not consider lack of emphasis on production of human capital as
the main problem facing higher education system in Iran. Under present
conditions, brain drain does not allow for accumulation of human capital
because "the end product of educational investment flees to foreign economies
and the higher education system has become a base for providing specialized
manpower to advanced countries." Recruitment of the Iranian graduates in
foreign economies shows that the higher education system of Iran, despite all
problems, is capable of producing exportable human capital. Iran has turned
into the world’s "biggest brain exporter" at a time that due to low quality of
domestic products, its rating with regard to other exports is quite low.
Iran’s rating in terms of brain export shows that, at least, part of the
Iranian graduates enjoy high quality and our higher education system, despite
weaknesses, is capable of producing human capital.
Therefore, the main problem facing the
country’s development is not shortage of educational investments or low
quality of education at higher educational centers. The index of human
capital, as a major indicator of development, fares good and the main reason
for underdevelopment of the country is the gap between that indicator and
other indicators of development. For example, in a recent work, reference has
been made to differences between human development and material development
indicators: Iran ranks 97th among 174 countries according to human
development indicator and is a medium ranking country in this regard. However,
its ranking in terms of gross domestic product, as an indicator of material
development, is 77. The difference between the two indicators (-20) means that
Iran fares better in terms of material development than human development.
Therefore, the difference between two forms of development reflects the fact
that in our country most resources have been spent on developing hardware and
less attention has been paid to software. However, improvement in gross
domestic product, as an indicator of material development does not reflect
attention to hardware, but results from export of raw material including oil
and gas. Therefore, we cannot conclude that more attention is paid to hardware
technologies and now it is turn to pay more attention to software technologies
including investment in education and improvement of manpower. The main issue
is that human development has come to harm due to the absence of good
relationship to economic capital.
In Iran, educational investments have
overshadowed social, cultural and political behaviors and attitudes and have
also had economic consequences. However, on the whole, the consumer aspect of
those investments has been more pronounced than their productive aspect. By
differentiating between economic and social outputs or market development and
social development discourse, one can claim that social output of higher
education in Iran has been much more than its economic output. Instead of
emphasizing on the improvement of human capital indicator in the first stage
to achieve economic development, this paper will stress on the link between
educational processes and industrial and technological production processes.
We believe that the main lack of harmony is not between material and human
development, but in the lag between technological indicators as compared to
human development indexes. In this way, under current conditions, the basic
strategy for development is not to increase investment in production of human
capital but in increasing links between educational and research processes, on
the one hand, and economic processes, on the other hand. Without making an
effort to establish that relationship, the results and output of educational
investments will not benefit Iran, but will do so with respect to other
countries. Dissociation between investment and benefits of investment is
facilitated, to some extent, by fugitive specialists, and to some extent, by
new communication technologies and tools. However, the root cause is internal
dissociation between educational and business environments.
Lag between
Social –Economic Development and Human Capital Production:
The lag between
production of human capital and economic development, which is manifested in
production of human capital surpassing its application in the process of
economic development of the country can be defined in various ways. A simple
definition of that situation is to compare development indexes of higher
education and the number of graduates during the past few decades with
utilization of educated manpower.
The number of university students
increased from 67,268 to 923,913 between the academic year 1969-1970 and the
academic year 2003-2004, showing an increase of over 15 times. The number of
doctorate students has also increased from 452 in the academic year 1979-1980
to 12,000 in the academic year 2001-2002, registering an increase of over 20
percent. Between 1985 and 1995, the ratio of students per 100,000 people has
increased by more than 260 percent from 377 to 1,364. The increase is even
higher than corresponding figures for Japan, the United States, France,
England and even such developing countries as India, Indonesia, and Turkey.
The growth in gross enrollment rate in higher education institutes of Iran
(which increased from 4.1 percent to 14.8 percent in the same period) has been
higher than the corresponding figures for the said countries. According to
those indicators, despite low absolute value of production of human capital
compared to some countries, the rate of production of that capital is
relatively satisfactory.
During the past two decades, a large
number of students have graduated and emergence of nongovernmental higher
education centers (Islamic Azad University and nonprofit institutes) has
further increased that figure. The main question is to what extent the high
number of graduates is used in industrial production and technological
development processes as the main fields of production? Share of graduate
manpower (above associate degree) to total employed population of the country
is very low. Out of 14,572,571 employed people in 1996, only 1,402,617
persons, that is, 9.6 percent, were university graduates. The figure amounted
to 26.5 percent in public sector and 2.2 percent in the private sector. Out of
10 employed persons in the country, only one enjoys academic education and a
large portion of graduates are engaged in administrative, educational and
health professions and are rarely involved in production of science and
technological development. In the private sector, which should be active in
the field of industrial production, about two out of 100 persons enjoy
academic education and less than 0.5 persons (0.43 percent) holds a
postgraduate degree. Therefore, only part of the academic graduates is
attracted to the private and public sectors because knowledge and specialty
(except for such fields as education and public health) does not enjoy a
special status in economic activities of the country. In other words,
activities focused on production of information, knowledge and technology, are
much lower compared to activities related to production of human capital.
In this paper, technology adoption
indicators (TAI) are used for a more complex definition of the existing gap
between educational and economic sectors (UNDP, 2001). Various indexes of this
indicator cover situation of human skills (as an expression of human capital)
as well as the situation of technological and industrial development. The main
theory of this paper is based on the existence of gap between educational and
economic sectors along with an assessment of differences related to Iran
according to indicators of human capital and indicators of technology
production.
Technology Adoption Indicators shows the
status of various countries with regard to production and promotion of
technology and indicates capacities of countries to take part in technological
innovations. That indicator, measures inputs instead of potentials or
achievements. The indicator does not reflect advancement of a country in
technological development, but focuses on participation of a country as a
whole, in producing and applying technology. For example, the United States
has registered more inventions and Internet groups than Finland, but Finland
ranks higher (1 against 2) in terms of ATI indicators because the country has
been more successful with regard to promoting Internet and developing
technological skills in the population. TAI focuses on four technological
indicators which are more important for availing of "network era." They
include:
1. Production of Technology: The
capacity for innovation is the highest level of technological capacities.
Global economy holds great rewards for leaders in technological innovation.
All countries need a capacity for innovation and that capacity cannot be
developed solely through consumption of technology without developing the
ability to produce technology. Technology adoption indicators use two indexes
to express the level of innovation in a society: 1) the number of registered
inventions to express the current level of inventory activities, and 2)
obtaining patents from abroad to express saving of successful innovations of
the past which are still useful, and therefore, enjoy "market value."
2. Proliferation of recent innovations:
All countries should adopt innovations in order to avail of opportunities that
are provided in the age of networks. This is measured in terms of propagation
of the Internet or the export of high- and medium-technology products
(compared to total exports).
3. Proliferation of old innovations:
Although sometimes a technological spurt may be possible, technological
advancement is a cumulative phenomenon and proliferation of old innovations is
needed to accept recent ones. Proliferation of old innovations is measured in
terms of the number of conventional or mobile phone lines as well as power
consumption because they need modern technologies.
4. Human skills: Human skills are
indispensable component of technological dynamism. Creators and users of new
technologies need skills. Modern technology needs adaptability and skill to
overcome the constant current of new innovations. The fundaments of that
ability include: basic education for development, cognitive skills, as well as
scientific and mathematical skills. Two indicators are used to measure needed
human skills and to create or attract new innovations: average years of
schooling among population ageing above 15 as well as the ratio of gross
enrolment rate of students in science, mathematics and engineering courses.
When measuring TAI indicators, every one
of the abovementioned indicators; that is, production of technology,
proliferation of recent technologies, proliferation of old technologies, and
human skills are of equal importance and inside every one of those indicators,
the two later indexes are also of equal significance. The United Nations
Development Program (UNDP) in its human development report has calculated
technological adoption indicators for 72 countries with Iran ranking 50th.
Iran’s standing in terms of the above indicators has been introduced as
follows:
Production of technology: Iran has only
registered one invention for 1 million people. The country has earned nothing
through inventions or patents and fares even worse than countries like
Tunisia, Paraguay, El Salvador, and Egypt (ranking 51, 52, 54, and 57
respectively).
Proliferation of recent innovations: The
use of Internet in the country is low and only 2 percent of exported goods
enjoy medium and high technology. In terms of exports indicator, Iran fares
worse than all countries that rank below it (from 51st to 72nd)
save for Syria, Algeria, and Sudan.
Proliferation of old technologies: Iran
stands higher than Thailand, Brazil, Philippines, China, and Bolivia in terms
of the use of conventional telephone. Power consumption in Iran is higher than
countries ranking higher including Panama, Philippines, China, Bolivia,
Colombia and Peru.
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CURRENT ISSUE |
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July 2007
No. 44 |
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