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Global
Governance:
New Players, New Rules |
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The ideal of global governance is a
process of cooperative leadership that brings together national
governments, multilateral public agencies, and civil society to achieve
commonly accepted goals. |
In the summer of 2007, millions of
homeowners in the United States discovered that the terms on their mortgage
loans had worsened at the same time that the market values of their homes were
declining. The squeeze quickly led to a sharp rise in foreclosures, and many
families lost their homes. Within weeks, the turmoil spread to other advanced
economies with complex financial systems, where businesses and individuals
found that loans were harder to obtain and were unexpectedly expensive.
Suddenly, the solvency of major banks and other financial institutions was
being questioned.
What is surprising about this episode is
that most people seem to have thought that advanced financial systems were
sophisticated enough to absorb risks and to spread them widely enough to
prevent a sudden drying up of liquidity. Bank runs happened in the 1930s. They
were not supposed to happen in the 21st century. What is not so surprising is
that once the problem began, it spread around the world before any one country
could resolve the matter or protect itself from contagion. What began as a
banking crisis spilled over into equity markets, destabilizing stock markets
in industrial countries and raising fears that emerging markets could also be
at risk.
The financial turbulence of 2007
illustrates—not for the first time—both the benefits and the risks of
financial globalization. The global pooling of money has made it possible for
companies in Tanzania, for farmers in Vietnam, for entrepreneurial women in
villages in Bangladesh, and for young families in American cities to realize
dreams that were beyond the reach of earlier generations. But it also has made
them vulnerable to shifts in invisible forces that they cannot be expected to
understand, much less influence or control. In this instance, quick responses
by major central banks may have isolated the shock before it spread too
widely. The episode thus illustrates another important point: in a world of
globalized financial markets in which a systemic weakness in one country can
affect many other markets, oversight and regulation should be acknowledged as
a global responsibility.
Of course, the international community
needs to grapple with much more than financial governance issues. The removal
of barriers to international trade creates new employment opportunities, but
it also raises thorny questions about labor standards and other social
concerns. The destruction of old-growth hardwood forests to meet a growing
world demand imposes environmental costs around the globe. Most frighteningly,
contagious health risks respect no borders, whether the risks derive from
AIDS, tuberculosis, or influenza. In each case, hard decisions must be made
about whose welfare, which rights, and what goals matter most. This makes
global governance—whether it pertains to finance, trade, the environment, or
health—one of the most vital and difficult challenges of the modern world.
What is
global governance?:
The ideal of global governance is a
process of cooperative leadership that brings together national governments,
multilateral public agencies, and civil society to achieve commonly accepted
goals. It provides strategic direction and then marshals collective energies
to address global challenges. To be effective, it must be inclusive, dynamic,
and able to span national and sectoral boundaries and interests. It should
operate through soft rather than hard power. It should be more democratic than
authoritarian, more openly political than bureaucratic, and more integrated
than specialized.
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The problems and the challenges of
the 21st century—absorbing demographic change, reducing poverty,
expanding the provision of safe and clean energy without aggravating
climate change, alleviating health risks, and many others—require far
more coordination than is possible within such a system. |
Neither the concept nor the difficulty
of global governance is new. After the First World War ended, the leaders of
the victorious allies gathered in Paris in 1919 for six months of talks aimed
at redrawing many of the world’s national borders and establishing a permanent
forum—the League of Nations—to deal with future issues and problems. More than
30 countries sent delegations to the Paris peace conference, but the four
great powers of the winning side—France, Italy, the United Kingdom, and the
United States—dominated and controlled the proceedings.
A quarter of a century later, as the
Second World War drew to a close, allied delegations gathered again to set up
new institutions to replace the failed League and to prevent the economic
disasters that had characterized much of the interwar period. From those
storied discussions, most of which were held in and overwhelmingly influenced
by the United States—at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire; at the Dumbarton Oaks
mansion in Washington, D.C.; and in San Francisco, California—emerged the
multilateral agencies that would mold economic and political relations for the
next six decades: the United Nations, with its Security Council and its
specialized agencies; the Bretton Woods institutions—the World Bank and the
IMF; and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). This model of
global governance, in which the few countries that sat at the apex of the
world economic pyramid invited others to participate without ceding much
control, became the prevailing paradigm for the postwar era.
The system is
out of date: This
dominance model of global governance was a reasonable and practical model for
much of the 20th century. When the century began, London was the center of
international trade and finance. At mid-century, the center had drifted
westward across the Atlantic, but the Euro-American core had become even
stronger. By the end, however, it was the periphery that was gaining strength.
New regional and even global powers had risen to challenge the old, but the
governance system failed to keep up with these changes.
The five permanent members of the UN
Security Council hold a veto over actions such as the imposition of
multilateral sanctions on states that violate UN resolutions and the sending
of multilateral forces to maintain peace in volatile regions. The membership
of that body has not changed in six decades. Control has broadened a bit more
in other agencies, but far from enough. In the IMF, for example, in 1946 the
United States and the United Kingdom together held a hair under 50 percent of
the voting power on the Executive Board. Today it takes at least eight
Directors representing 35 or more countries to constitute a majority. The
United States alone has a veto over major financial decisions, but any
coalition of three or more members with a total vote of 15 percent can do the
same. Nonetheless, changes in the distribution of votes and influence have
lagged far behind the evolution of the world economy, with the consequence
that the oversight of the international financial system has become less and
less accepted as politically legitimate.
A second issue is that the international
system by which national governments come together to oversee global issues is
fragmented and specialized, without an effective, broad overview. Like its
predecessor, the GATT, the World Trade Organization deals with trade. The
World Health Organization (WHO) oversees health issues. The UN Security
Council responds to situations that threaten world peace. The World Bank and
regional development banks provide official financing to developing countries.
The IMF oversees the functioning of the international financial system.
Notwithstanding the extensive consultation and cooperation that take place
regularly among these and other agencies, each one acts independently within
its own sphere.
In sum, what we have today is a
multiplicity of independent actors, both public and private, each pursuing its
own objectives and priorities, with its own clientele and constituency, with
its own technical language and organizational culture, with its own mandate
and specialized focus. These attributes may have been appropriate for a time
when international relations focused on several important issues but just a
small number of important countries. The lasting effect, however, is that we
have inherited a system that is fragmented and that relies heavily, perhaps
too heavily, on market forces, competition, and ad hoc public reactions to try
to channel energies and allocate resources.
In this setting, agencies become more
inward looking, focusing more on how to evaluate and try to improve their own
performance than on how to work together with partners to achieve common
objectives. The weaker the governance structures and processes are within
specific sectors, the less external orientation and awareness there is, and
the less coherent the activities among different actors. Each agency becomes
less effective, and the system as a whole suffers.
The problems and the challenges of the
21st century—absorbing demographic change, reducing poverty, expanding the
provision of safe and clean energy without aggravating climate change,
alleviating health risks, and many others—require far more coordination than
is possible within such a system. Each of these challenges, even if addressed
locally or nationally, has the potential to affect the lives of people
everywhere. Specialized technical expertise by itself is unlikely to be fully
effective if it is not guided by a global and holistic vision.
The vacuum represented by the lack of a
comprehensive system of oversight has been filled in part by a succession of
ad hoc groups of states purporting to act as a steering committee for the
world economy. That effort began with the formation of the Group of Ten (G-10)
main industrial countries in 1962. A subgroup formed in the 1970s as the G-5,
which broadened to the G-7 in the 1980s and to the G-8 in the 1990s. To try to
counter the powerful influence of these groups of industrial countries,
developing countries formed the G-77 in 1964 and then a subgroup, the G-24, in
1971. In 1999, the G-7 invited a number of emerging market developing
countries to join them in a new G-20 grouping.
Most of these groups still meet
regularly and issue pronouncements on how national governments and the various
multilateral institutions should act to deal with a variety of issues, such as
the financial turbulence of 2007. In addition, nongovernmental organizations
have proliferated to represent the interests of civil society, business,
labor, and religions on issues such as environmental protection, property
rights, workers’ rights, poverty reduction, financial stability, and the
promotion of democracy and transparency in government. Many of these
organizations, both governmental and civil, are effective advocates for the
interests that they represent, but none can be said to represent the interests
of the world as a whole.
The problems
will worsen:
These shortcomings in global governance, if not addressed, will only worsen in
the years to come and could undermine the progress that globalization has
brought. As the historian Harold James (2001) has shown, history is replete
with episodes in which international commerce and finance have flourished and
generated bursts of economic growth and development, only to be reversed
because of popular backlash. Those who believe in the benefits of
globalization will be more likely to prevail if they engage in a real dialogue
and a partnership with those who fear that their own interests will be swamped
by the rising tide.
To see how these
weaknesses are likely to worsen, consider the ongoing effects of population
growth, rising energy demands, and global health risks.
Demographic change.
The coming generation will see an immense and challenging transformation in
the world. The overriding challenge will be to absorb a huge increase in
population. Demographers in the UN and elsewhere project that world population
will grow by half, from 6 billion people in 2000 to 9 billion in 2050, before
leveling off (United Nations, 2005; and U.S. Census Bureau). Much of the
discussion of demographic trends in recent years has focused on the inexorable
rise in the elderly population and the effects this will have on tax burdens
and the provision of health care and other social services.
Even more overwhelming is the expected
pressure on development prospects. All of the additional 3 billion people will
be living in developing countries, where the majority today live in conditions
of poverty. The primary Millennium Development Goal (MDG), endorsed by almost
all of the world’s national leaders in 2000, is to reduce the rate of extreme
poverty by half between 1990 and 2015. The goal is being met globally, and
even those regions that are lagging are now at least achieving growth in per
capita incomes. Sustaining that progress throughout the transformation over
the coming decades will require leadership in, and cooperation among, rich and
poor countries, multilateral institutions, the private sector, and civil
society.
These stark demographic realities are
adding fuel to the polarization of attitudes regarding the benefits and costs
of globalization, and regarding the creation of winners and losers from the
globalization of economic forces identified with the spread of market-oriented
ideas. Doubts about the human face of globalization, about whether it really
produces widely shared benefits and reduces world poverty, risk re-creating
the backlash against the whole process that reversed previous episodes of
global integration and that flared up widely and ominously just a few years
ago.
Energy.
Another vital and growing global challenge is the provision of energy.
Already, for example, 2 billion people have no access to electricity. Add 3
billion more people to the world by 2050, and there will be 5 billion
potential new customers, which is a billion more than the number who have
access now. The scale of the effort in the electricity sector alone that will
be required to meet this new incremental demand is daunting, even leaving
aside the related tasks of modernizing transportation (more reliance on hybrid
cars that use electricity), reducing pollution, and minimizing climate change
stemming from human activities. The scale of investment in new sources of
electricity generation and distribution required to meet the rising demand
will be massive, even without considering replacing and upgrading existing
capacity or adopting cleaner technology.
The energy challenge for the future
cannot be met without strong leadership and coordination. A global energy
market exists, with global institutions that monitor markets and represent
different parties. Even so, since most energy investment, whether in oil,
natural gas, biomass, nuclear power, or alternative energy sources, is managed
by private companies or parastatal enterprises, private sector and national
interests are more strongly represented than are global public interests.
In a field anticipating lumpy,
long-term, massive investments with major spillover effects on the environment
and on the profitability of other investments in the same or related sectors,
there is no system for global energy governance. No locus exists where private
and public sector entities can gauge the importance of the impact of others on
their actions and determine their own actions and adjustments in a longer-term
perspective than markets operating alone can provide.
Health.
The importance of spillover or contagion effects in global health is even more
self-evident. The splintering of institutional approaches in global health is
worrying. The fact that philanthropists and special funds are providing
additional resources for disease eradication is, of course, a welcome
development. The proliferation of donor-funded programs does, however, raise
issues for ensuring accountability. In addition, a danger arises that these
efforts could end up chasing specific diseases rather than addressing the
underlying causes of global health threats, namely poverty, institutional
weaknesses, and underinvestment in public health systems, especially in
developing countries (Waldman, 2007).
The premier
global public health agency, the WHO, is underfunded, overearmarked, and ill
equipped to deal with investment in health institutions and public health
systems. The World Bank can and does pick up part of the slack, but its
lending for health is independent of, and not formally coordinated with, the
WHO. The need for intersectoral, interministerial, and interinstitutional
approaches in global health governance is clear.
What can be
done?:
Strengthening the governance of global interactions requires action on three
fronts: rationalizing the relationships among sovereign states, updating the
existing multilateral institutions, and creating an effective oversight body.
It is no longer possible to argue that
the current oversight of international relations is adequate for the 21st
century. Ministerial bodies such as the Development Committee, the
International Monetary and Financial Committee, the Council of the
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, and the World Health
Assembly play important roles within the organizations they guide, but each
one represents interests that are specific to those institutional mandates.
Above those committees, none of the regular summit groupings is sufficiently
representative to provide legitimate global leadership.
Much attention has been focused recently
on reforming international institutions to make them both more effective and
more politically legitimate. If those reforms are to lead to real improvements
in performance, a means must be found to integrate the sectoral focus of these
institutions into a comprehensive framework for dealing with common global
challenges. That consideration suggests a need for a new governance mechanism
at the apex of the global system. Designing such a mechanism will not be easy,
nor will it be without controversy. At this time, only the broad outlines can
be plainly sketched.
The first and
most important front is to reform the process by which national political
leaders come together at the summit or ministerial level to discuss common
concerns.
Responsibility for shaping the global system rests much more with national
governments than with the international institutions as separate entities.
Those institutions are membership organizations that are guided and directed
by national authorities, by ministers of finance, energy, health, and
development, among others. Until the interactions among those authorities
reflect the interconnections among the problems of finance, poverty, health,
energy, and security; and until they reflect the reality of the broadened and
globalized world of the new century, no effort to reform the institutions can
possibly make enough difference. Furthermore, it is unlikely that reforming
the international institutions and global governance generally will be fully
successful without expanding the membership of summits and energizing their
mandate.
Leadership at
the highest level of public responsibility that is uniquely invested in heads
of state is necessary to provide the strategic guidance required for national
and international institutions to be effective in managing the multisectoral
nature of global threats. Because the only truly powerful group—the G-8
summit—is composed exclusively of rich, industrial countries, mostly from the
North Atlantic, there is a "democratic deficit" in the current summit grouping
and, as a consequence, a void at the apex of the international system. To
bring the international institutions together in a new configuration to
address the pressing issues of our times coherently, it is essential to expand
the summits to include countries from other major regions and cultures as
equal members.
The second front
is to update the system of multilateral institutions.
Some, like the IMF, are seen as efficient but lacking in political legitimacy;
others, such as the UN, are seen as just the opposite.
Over the past two years, the IMF has set
out a specific reform agenda that—if it is fully and boldly implemented—could
respond to the questions that have been raised about its political legitimacy.
The principal governance-related elements of this agenda are to shift
influence more toward the dynamic and fast-growing regions and away from
previously dominant countries whose role in the world economy has waned
relative to the emerging market economies, and to adopt more open and
transparent procedures for selecting its own management. In addition, the IMF
has revised its conditionality guidelines with the aim of becoming less
directive and intrusive and more cooperative in its dealings with the member
countries that depend on it most heavily.
Similarly, in 2004 the UN initiated an
effort to strengthen what Florini and Pascual (2007) have called "a
fundamentally unsound institutional base." Those reforms included an expansion
of the Security Council, substantial internal management reform, and a wide
range of specific proposals aimed at making the UN system more coherent. As
with IMF reform, the chief remaining challenge is to generate the broad
political support that is required to bring these initiatives to life.
The third front
is to generate a new mandate for relating the panoply of international
institutions to global challenges.
Generating this new mandate should be a priority task for a new global
steering committee of heads of state. The MDGs provide an example of a
comprehensive, multisectoral approach to fighting global poverty, integrating
as they do goals for gender equality, universal education, health, and
environmental sustainability. The forthcoming Financing for Development Summit
to be held in Doha, Qatar, in 2008, could provide world leaders with an
opportunity to intensify the global effort to achieve the MDGs and provide a
framework for coordinated action among the major institutions, agencies, and
actors. A reformed, expanded summit grouping, with help from the institutions
themselves, could monitor, evaluate, and guide the implementation actions
agenda for the MDGs going forward.
The fragmented
international system of today is composed of multiple institutions, agencies,
and actors with specialized mandates. What is required is a transition to a
global system of reformed institutions and new governance mechanisms that can
harness diverse energies and resources in a cohesive way to respond
effectively to urgent global challenges in the age of massive economic and
social transformation that lies ahead. The recent election of new leaders in
the United Kingdom, France, and Japan; the prospect of elections in some other
G-8 countries; and the selection of new heads of the Bretton Woods
institutions and other agencies together establish an opportunity to move the
governance reform agenda forward to create a global system congruent with the
problems that must be addressed. |