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May 2008, Nos. 46&47


Oil & Gas

Iranian Oil Industry Needs $500bn

Investments in oil industry should be increased by, at least, 70 percent compared to the current figure by 2024 while Iran has only attracted 4.5 billion dollars investments in its oil industry during
17 years ending in 2006.

The 13th International Exhibition of Oil, Gas, and Petrochemicals was held in Tehran at a time that international oil prices are still rising.

The sweet taste of high oil prices was evident in the remarks of the Iranian Minister of Petroleum Gholamhossein Nozari who attended THE inaugural ceremony of the exhibition. He was very satisfied with an oil price of 104 dollars per barrel. Rejecting low supply as the main reason for high prices, Nozari noted that other factors will push oil price up.

He added that the actual price of every barrel of oil currently stood at 36 dollars.

Just the night before his speech, global oil prices were still rising and hit a new record of 104 barrels per day for OPEC oil and 112 dollars per barrel for Brent crude. However, later news announced international oil prices at 113 dollars per barrel for OPEC oil and 114 dollars per barrel for Brent crude. Although prices started to fall slightly after that, but experts still blame devaluation of the US dollar and increased oil demand on the part of China as the main reasons behind the recent price hike. As the country’s oil revenues are on the rise, so investments in huge oil resources of Iran should also increase.

Gholamhossein Nozari announced that about 500 billion dollars should be invested in Iran’s oil, gas and petrochemicals by 2024 and stressed on the necessity of establishing a specialized oil development bank.

Establishment of the bank, which had been initially proposed late last Iranian year after escalation of foreign sanctions, has remained a proposal and despite stagnation in oil, gas and petrochemical industries, due to absence of enough funds, no serious effort has been made to implement new projects. However, the minister of petroleum added that investments in oil industry should be increased by, at least, 70 percent compared to the current figure by 2024 while Iran has only attracted 4.5 billion dollars investments in its oil industry during 17 years ending in 2006. In fact, given the need for speeding up implementation of oil industry projects to facilitate more serious presence of Iran in international markets, perhaps establishment of a specialized bank to develop the sector is the last resort for development of an economic system which is heavily dependent on oil. Of course, Bank of Industry and Mine has refused to invest in the implementation of phases 15 and 16 of South Pars Project.

As for threats posed against the French Total Company, minister of petroleum added that the problem between Iran and Total had nothing to do with expenses because the Iranian oil industry had refused the company’s cost appraisal report. "We have given them until June to resume negotiations in another way," he said.

Managing director of the National Iranian Oil Company had already threatened Shell and Total companies that they should make a final decision on the implementation of their projects by the end of the first Iranian month of Farvardin (April 20, 2008). However, there was no response from the two companies until the minister of petroleum announced that more time has been given to the two companies.

Crescent negotiations continue: Minister of petroleum also touched upon the contract for gas exports to the United Arab Emirates, saying, "Negotiations on Crescent will continue until the gas price is corrected. Otherwise, we will transfer gas from Sirri Island to the mainland."

At the same time, the contract for export of the Iranian gas to UAE, which is known as Crescent Contract, had envisaged that Iran would be exporting 600 million cu. ft. gas per day to the Emirates. However, the seventh Majlis deputies vetoed the contract and announced that the gas price quoted in the contract was far below the actual price and the UAE company had bribed an Iranian official who was in charge of formulating the contract under the eighth president. The main problem with the contract is that the gas price has been fixed at 18 dollars during the first seven years. Since that time, negotiations have continued between Iran and the United Arab Emirates, but no agreement on the gas price has yet been achieved. Therefore, the Ministry of Petroleum has decided to return the gas which was originally scheduled to be exported to UAE, to Iran from Sirri Island.

China remains silent on "Peace Pipeline": Minister of petroleum was also asked by reporters on "peace pipeline" negotiations.

He noted that the Indians that had previously announced their firm determination to take part in the project have changed their policies. "Pakistan, that is, the main beneficiary of the project, has invited China, which has many concerns about future fuel supply to its industries, to be partner to the project."

The oil minister added that Pakistani President Parvez Musharraf has officially called on China to join the project, but the Chinese foreign minister has thus far remained silent as to his proposal.

Although the minister of petroleum is still optimistic about implementation of the peace pipeline project in cooperation with India and announced that due to its energy needs, India would not forgo the project, the latter country has tried to take part in oil and gas projects implemented by other regional countries, in order to meet its future fuel needs.

 

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  May 2008
Nos. 46&47